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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
Randers FC
S S T U U
4–2
Full-time
Brondby
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
55%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,25 xG 1,13
44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Randers FC 6. · Brondby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 21 13 3 5 +13 +4.5 42
2 FC Copenhagen 21 11 8 2 +15 +11.7 41
3 Aarhus 21 9 9 3 +20 +9.8 36
4 Nordsjaelland 21 10 5 6 +4 +7.1 35
5 Brondby 20 8 8 4 +12 +7.9 32
6 Randers FC 20 8 8 4 +11 +9.5 32
7 Silkeborg 21 8 8 5 +9 +4.0 32
8 Viborg 21 6 7 8 -2 -8.1 25
9 Aalborg 21 4 6 11 -21 -17.9 18
10 Sonderjyske 21 4 5 12 -22 -14.4 17
11 Lyngby 21 2 9 10 -12 -6.0 15
12 Vejle 21 2 4 15 -27 -8.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Randers FC Brondby
27′
🔁 C. Bischoff
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Touré
N. Dyhr
48′
54′
N. Vallys 1–1
Y. Suzuki
2–1 A. Rømer
59′
64′
🔁 M. Rajović
↦ B. Tahirović
64′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ S. Klaiber
3–1 M. Touré
69′
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ F. Danho
71′
74′
J. Vanlerberghe 3–2
N. Vallys
F. Lauenborg 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
79′
S. Odey 🔁
↦ M. Touré
79′
83′
🔁 F. Bundgaard
↦ N. Vallys
83′
🔁 J. Ambæk
↦ M. Divković
4–2 M. Greve
N. Dyhr
92′
B. Kopplin 🔁
↦ M. Greve
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Randers FC

4-4-2
1 P. Izzo G
27 O. Olsen D
3 D. Høegh D
4 W. Dammers D
44 N. Dyhr D
17 M. Greve M
28 A. Rømer M
6 J. Björkengren M
9 S. Nordli M
26 F. Danho F
7 M. Touré F
Bench (9)
11 E. Mahmoud
14 F. Lauenborg
90 S. Odey
15 B. Kopplin
16 L. Pedersen
10 N. Campbell
25 O. Snorre
18 Noah Shamoun
24 S. Hansen

Coach: R. Bertelsen

Brondby

4-3-3
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
24 M. Divković D
35 N. Nartey M
10 D. Wass M
8 B. Tahirović M
28 Y. Suzuki F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
7 N. Vallys F
Bench (9)
37 C. Bischoff
17 M. Rajović
30 J. Vanlerberghe
11 F. Bundgaard
38 J. Ambæk
42 M. Jensen
6 S. Spierings
16 T. Mikkelsen
43 L. Larsen

Coach: F. Christensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.