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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Widzew Lodz
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Cracovia
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
37%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
58%
Both score Ø 66%
58%
74%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 11. · Cracovia 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 19 13 2 4 +22 +11.6 41
2 Jagiellonia 20 11 5 4 +11 -0.1 38
3 Rakow 20 10 7 3 +13 +9.9 37
4 Legia 20 9 6 5 +12 +10.2 33
5 Pogon Szczecin 20 10 3 7 +8 +9.1 33
6 Cracovia 19 9 5 5 +8 -0.1 32
7 Gornik Zabrze 20 9 4 7 +3 +4.1 31
8 GKS Katowice 20 8 5 7 +4 +0.9 29
9 Motor Lublin 20 8 5 7 -4 -1.5 29
10 Piast Gliwice 20 7 7 6 +3 -2.3 28
11 Widzew Lodz 19 7 4 8 -4 -3.2 25
12 Stal Mielec 20 6 4 10 -5 +4.6 22
13 Korona Kielce 20 5 7 8 -11 -4.3 22
14 Radomiak Radom 20 6 3 11 -8 -0.6 21
15 Puszcza 19 4 7 8 -9 -10.7 19
16 Zaglebie 19 5 4 10 -12 -7.1 19
17 Lechia Gdansk 19 3 6 10 -15 -16.2 15
18 Slask Wroclaw 20 1 8 11 -16 -4.3 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Cracovia
0–1 D. Ólafsson ⚽
own goal
15′
18′
⚽ B. Källman 0–2
Luís da Silva 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–2
M. Krajewski 🔁
↦ P. Kwiatkowski
60′
Fran Álvarez 🔁
↦ N. Stachowicz
71′
71′
🔁 F. Rózga
↦ A. Hasić
81′
🔁 P. Sokołowski
↦ Amir Al Ammari
81′
🔁 K. Śmiglewski
↦ M. van Buren
H. Gong 🔁
↦ J. Łukowski
84′
P. Volanakis 🔁
↦ M. Krajewski
84′
H. Sobol 🔁
↦ S. Hamulić
85′
87′
🔁 B. Biedrzycki
↦ D. Ólafsson
88′
🟨 Mikkel Maigaard
93′
🟨 Kacper Śmiglewski
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
21 P. Kwiatkowski D
4 M. Żyro D
2 Luís Silva D
3 S. Kozlovský D
25 M. Hanousek M
6 J. Shehu M
70 N. Stachowicz M
37 S. Kerk M
7 J. Łukowski M
99 S. Hamulić F
Bench (9)
91 M. Krajewski
10 Fran Álvarez
8 H. Gong
24 P. Volanakis
17 H. Sobol
23 L. Madej
44 N. Diliberto
18 D. Gryzio
31 M. Biegański

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
13 S. Madejski G
24 J. Jugas D
4 G. Henriksson D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
6 Amir Al Ammari M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
14 A. Hasić F
9 B. Källman F
7 M. van Buren F
Bench (9)
18 F. Rózga
88 P. Sokołowski
21 K. Śmiglewski
16 B. Biedrzycki
27 H. Ravas
77 P. Janasik
66 O. Wójcik
3 A. Skovgaard
23 F. Bzdyl

Coach: D. Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.