OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jerv
Bryne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fredrikstad
|
20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | +16 | 41 |
| 2 |
Kongsvinger
|
20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |
Start
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 34 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 |
Ranheim
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +3 | 28 |
| 8 |
Sandnes ULF
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +8 | 26 |
| 9 |
Kristiansund
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 26 |
| 10 |
Moss
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Jerv
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | +0 | 25 |
| 13 |
Mjondalen
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 22 |
| 14 |
hodd
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 |
Asane
|
20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -23 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mjondalen
Jerv
Jerv
Sandnes ULF
Kristiansund
Jerv
Raufoss
Jerv
Jerv
Moss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.