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Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Zaglebie

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 49%

64%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

64%

Both score Ø 49%

45%

52%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Zaglebie 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	33	21	8	4	+42	71
2	Rakow	33	19	9	5	+27	66
3	Pogon Szczecin	33	18	10	5	+32	64
4	Lechia Gdansk	33	16	9	8	+16	57
5	Piast Gliwice	33	15	8	10	+8	53
6	Radomiak Radom	33	11	14	8	+2	47
7	Cracovia	33	12	10	11	+1	46
8	Wisla Plock	33	14	3	16	-6	45
9	Gornik Zabrze	33	12	8	13	-1	44
10	Legia	33	12	4	17	-5	40
11	Warta Poznan	33	10	9	14	-4	39
12	Zaglebie	33	11	5	17	-15	38
13	Stal Mielec	33	9	10	14	-10	37
14	Jagiellonia	33	8	13	12	-12	37
15	Slask Wroclaw	33	7	14	12	-9	35
16	Wisla	33	7	10	16	-16	31
17	Nieciecza	33	7	10	16	-20	31
18	Leczna	33	6	10	17	-30	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lechia Gdansk	17	12	4	1	+19	40
2	Lech Poznan	16	12	3	1	+32	39
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	11	2	3	+22	35
4	Rakow	16	9	6	1	+19	33
5	Wisla Plock	16	10	2	4	+10	32
6	Radomiak Radom	17	7	7	3	+4	28
7	Legia	16	9	0	7	+5	27
8	Gornik Zabrze	17	7	5	5	+5	26
9	Cracovia	17	7	5	5	+5	26
10	Stal Mielec	17	7	4	6	+0	25
11	Piast Gliwice	16	7	3	6	+1	24
12	Zaglebie	17	7	3	7	-3	24
13	Jagiellonia	17	5	8	4	+3	23
14	Wisla	16	5	5	6	+1	20
15	Nieciecza	17	5	5	7	-7	20
16	Warta Poznan	17	4	6	7	-6	18
17	Leczna	16	4	6	6	-11	18
18	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	8	5	-6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	17	10	3	4	+8	33
2	Lech Poznan	17	9	5	3	+10	32
3	Pogon Szczecin	17	7	8	2	+10	29
4	Piast Gliwice	17	8	5	4	+7	29
5	Warta Poznan	16	6	3	7	+2	21
6	Cracovia	16	5	5	6	-4	20
7	Radomiak Radom	16	4	7	5	-2	19
8	Slask Wroclaw	17	4	6	7	-3	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	3	8	-6	18
10	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	5	7	-3	17
11	Zaglebie	16	4	2	10	-12	14
12	Jagiellonia	16	3	5	8	-15	14
13	Legia	17	3	4	10	-10	13
14	Wisla Plock	17	4	1	12	-16	13
15	Stal Mielec	16	2	6	8	-10	12
16	Nieciecza	16	2	5	9	-13	11
17	Wisla	17	2	5	10	-17	11
18	Leczna	17	2	4	11	-19	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.