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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Norwich

T T U U T

1–2

Full-time

Leeds

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,2

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,7

This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 6%

11%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 45%

22%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,2

0,9

Conceded

2,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 0

14 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 20. · Leeds 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	10	8	1	1	+23	25
2	Liverpool	10	6	4	0	+21	22
3	Man City	10	6	2	2	+14	20
4	West Ham	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Man United	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Arsenal	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Brighton	10	4	4	2	+0	16
8	Tottenham	10	5	0	5	-7	15
9	Everton	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Leicester	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Wolves	9	4	1	4	+0	13
12	Brentford	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Crystal Palace	10	2	6	2	-1	12
14	Southampton	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Aston Villa	9	3	1	5	-2	10
16	Watford	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Burnley	10	1	4	5	-6	7
18	Leeds	9	1	4	4	-8	7
19	Newcastle	10	0	4	6	-12	4
20	Norwich	9	0	2	7	-21	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	5	4	0	1	+14	12
2	Man City	5	3	1	1	+10	10
3	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+5	9
5	Everton	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	-3	9
7	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Crystal Palace	5	1	4	0	+3	7
9	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Man United	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Leicester	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Brighton	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Southampton	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Burnley	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Leeds	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Brentford	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Watford	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Wolves	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Newcastle	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Norwich	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+16	13
2	Chelsea	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Man City	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	West Ham	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Man United	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Wolves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Brighton	5	2	3	0	+2	9
8	Brentford	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Leicester	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Arsenal	5	2	1	2	-4	7
11	Watford	5	2	0	3	+1	6
12	Tottenham	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Everton	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Southampton	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Aston Villa	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Leeds	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Newcastle	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Norwich	5	0	1	4	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.