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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
Sirius
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Hammarby
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
3,0
3,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sirius 8. · Hammarby 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Djurgarden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Hacken 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.8 4
3 Elfsborg 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.3 4
4 Malmo FF 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Orgryte 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.7 4
6 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.9 4
7 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.8 3
9 AIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Degerfors 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
11 Brommapojkarna 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
12 Kalmar 2 0 0 2 -2 0
13 GAIS 2 0 0 2 -3 0
14 Halmstad 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.4 0
15 Goteborg 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.9 0
16 Mjallby 2 0 0 2 -5 +0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Hammarby
1–0 I. Bjerkebo
O. Krusnell
9′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ E. Kabore
63′
🔁 T. Tekie
↦ I. Fofana
66′
🟨 Hampus Skoglund
2–0 R. Ure
70′
M. Nartey 🔁
↦ V. Svensson
71′
J. Persson 🔁
↦ N. Jonsson
71′
77′
🔁 N. Persson
↦ O. Johansson
77′
🔁 O. Hagen
↦ V. Lind
80′
🟨 Victor Eriksson
82′
🔁 F. Adjei
↦ M. Madjed
V. Ekstrom 🔁
↦ I. Bjerkebo
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sirius

4-3-3
34 D. Celic G
5 H. Castegren D
2 M. Soumah D
4 T. Anker D
22 O. Krusnell D
24 V. Svensson M
10 M. Heier M
6 M. Lindberg M
17 N. Jonsson F
9 R. Ure F
11 I. Bjerkebo F
Bench (9)
1 I. Diawara
21 C. Nilden
8 M. Nartey
20 V. Ekstrom
27 B. Magnusson
25 O. Adindu
7 J. Persson
12 I. Hook
26 H. Andersson

Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
6 I. Fofana D
4 V. Eriksson D
3 F. Winther D
8 M. Karlsson M
11 O. Johansson M
26 M. Madjed M
20 N. Besara M
9 V. Lind M
29 E. Kabore F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
7 P. Abraham
16 N. Persson
15 O. Hagen
5 T. Tekie
28 F. Adjei
31 O. Steinke
33 B. Hedlof
21 S. Kone

Coach: Kalle Karlsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.