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Allsvenskan
Referee: O Johnson
Degerfors
S U U T T
0–2
Full-time
Varnamo
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
77%
33%
Both score Ø 51%
69%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
2,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Degerfors 13. · Varnamo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 12 10 1 1 +21 31
2 Elfsborg 12 9 2 1 +18 29
3 Hacken 13 9 1 3 +21 28
4 Kalmar 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Djurgarden 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Brommapojkarna 12 6 1 5 +0 19
7 Halmstad 12 6 1 5 -4 19
8 Norrkoping 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Hammarby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
10 Mjallby 12 4 3 5 -3 15
11 Sirius 12 3 5 4 -3 14
12 Varnamo 12 4 0 8 -6 12
13 Degerfors 13 3 2 8 -20 11
14 Goteborg 12 1 4 7 -5 7
15 AIK 12 1 4 7 -8 7
16 Varberg 12 0 5 7 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors Varnamo
25′
A. Ademi 0–1
O. Johansson
Seid Korac 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
K. Mammar 🔁
↦ J. Gyau
46′
F. Bassey 🔁
↦ G. Lindgren
46′
D. Pavlović 🔁
↦ A. Mörfelt
46′
57′
🟨 Emin Grozdanic
72′
🔁 V. Bergh
↦ A. Lohikangas
72′
🔁 E. Bećirović
↦ A. Ademi
79′
🔁 A. Zeljkovic
↦ G. Engvall
81′
H. Näsström 0–2
O. Johansson
83′
🔁 F. Winsth
↦ O. Johansson
Abdelkarim Chaouche 🟨
85′
Rasmus Örqvist 🟨
87′
J. Bichis 🔁
↦ P. Gwargis
88′
J. Salmon 🔁
↦ R. Örqvist
88′
89′
🟨 Ajdin Zeljkovic
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Degerfors

5-3-2
1 S. Rossbach G
20 E. Bouzaiene D
2 G. Granath D
15 S. Korač D
7 S. Ohlsson D
5 J. Gyau D
18 A. Mörfelt M
16 R. Örqvist M
11 C. Gravius M
21 P. Gwargis F
9 G. Lindgren F
Bench (9)
3 K. Mammar
14 F. Bassey
47 D. Pavlović
19 J. Bichis
22 J. Salmon
12 E. Lindell
17 C. Ljungberg
23 A. Hedén Lindskog
25 J. Olsson

Coach: T. Solberg

Varnamo

4-3-3
30 F. Voytekhovich G
5 V. Larsson D
25 V. Eriksson D
24 E. Grozdanic D
16 A. Lohikangas D
8 A. Ademi M
6 H. Näsström M
18 Wenderson M
9 O. Johansson F
14 G. Engvall F
22 S. Thern F
Bench (9)
3 V. Bergh
11 E. Bećirović
10 A. Zeljkovic
20 F. Winsth
17 J. Dickman
28 F. Adjei
7 C. Vindehall
1 J. Rasheed
19 M. Bustos

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Johnson · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.