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Svenska Cupen

Referee: M Al Hakim

AIK

S T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Varnamo

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AIK 19. · Varnamo 38. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Vasteras SK	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Elfsborg	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+8	9
6	GAIS	3	3	0	0	+7	9
7	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+7	9
8	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
9	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+5	9
10	Stockholm Internazionale	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+8	7
12	Brommapojkarna	3	2	1	0	+8	7
13	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+7	7
14	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
15	Trelleborg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
16	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
17	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	AIK	3	1	2	0	+6	5
20	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Oddevold	3	1	1	1	+0	4
22	IK brage	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Karlberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
24	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Varnamo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
39	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
40	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
47	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
51	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
53	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-4	3
54	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
56	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
60	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
61	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-8	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Stockholm Internazionale	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Karlberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
21	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
25	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
26	Oddevold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Trelleborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skövde AIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	IK brage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
45	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
11	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+5	4
12	IK brage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
46	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
47	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
48	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-4	3
49	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
50	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
51	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.