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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

Norrkoping

S U S S T

1–2

Full-time

Hammarby

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

71%

86%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

4,1

3,0

Scored

1,6

Conceded

2,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

9 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norrkoping 10. · Hammarby 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	6	0	1	+15	+6.8	18
2	GAIS	8	5	0	3	+0	+0.4	15
3	Mjallby	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.0	14
4	AIK	8	4	2	2	+2	-2.2	14
5	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+5	+1.2	13
6	Hacken	7	4	1	2	+4	-1.4	13
7	Halmstad	8	4	0	4	-5	-3.6	12
8	Elfsborg	7	3	1	3	-1	+2.5	10
9	Sirius	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.0	10
10	Norrkoping	7	3	1	3	-7	-4.1	10
11	Brommapojkarna	7	2	3	2	+2	+2.5	9
12	Hammarby	7	3	0	4	+1	+1.0	9
13	Goteborg	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.8	7
14	Varnamo	7	2	1	4	-7	-4.5	7
15	Kalmar	7	2	0	5	-2	-2.9	6
16	Vasteras SK	8	1	0	7	-8	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
2	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
3	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.0	9
4	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+0	-0.1	9
5	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
6	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.8	7
7	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.1	7
8	Hacken	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.4	6
9	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.2	6
11	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+0	-1.4	3
12	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.0	3
13	Vasteras SK	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.9	3
14	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
15	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	3	0	1	+7	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+5	+2.4	7
3	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
4	Varnamo	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.4	7
5	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.3	6
7	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
11	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-0.9	4
12	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
14	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
15	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-5	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.