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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
Norrkoping
S U T U S
4–1
Full-time
Hammarby
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
25%
60%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
30%
65%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
35%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 15
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norrkoping 12. · Hammarby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 21 13 6 2 +22 45
2 Djurgarden 21 13 5 3 +27 44
3 Hammarby 20 12 4 4 +26 40
4 AIK 21 11 6 4 +10 39
5 Goteborg 21 11 3 7 +12 36
6 Kalmar 21 11 3 7 +7 36
7 Malmo FF 21 10 4 7 +8 34
8 Mjallby 21 8 7 6 +0 31
9 Elfsborg 21 6 9 6 +7 27
10 Sirius 21 7 4 10 -9 25
11 Varnamo 21 5 7 9 -12 22
12 Norrkoping 20 5 6 9 -5 21
13 Varberg 21 5 6 10 -17 21
14 Degerfors 21 4 4 13 -23 16
15 Helsingborg 21 3 5 13 -17 14
16 Sundsvall 21 3 1 17 -36 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norrkoping Hammarby
Ari Freyr Skúlason 🟨
34′
42′
A. Skúlason 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Pinas
↦ M. Fenger
2–0 A. Sigurðsson
50′
62′
🔁 J. Nilsson
↦ A. Saidi
3–0 A. Traustason
71′
G. Ekpolo 🔁
↦ D. Eid
78′
D. Salihovic 🔁
↦ A. Skúlason
78′
83′
🟨 Gustav Ludwigson
84′
🔁 P. Vagić
↦ S. Sandberg
84′
🔁 B. Trawally
↦ E. Kurtulus
Jonathan Levi 🟨
86′
87′
🟨 Davor Blažević
M. Sema 🔁
↦ J. Levi
87′
4–0 C. Nyman
A. Sigurðsson
89′
Linus Wahlqvist 🟨
91′
92′
🔁 A. Demirol
↦ D. Bojanić
96′
🟨 Alper Demirol
5–0 A. Sigurðsson
96′
L. Shabani 🔁
↦ J. Ortmark
98′
A. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ C. Nyman
98′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Norrkoping

4-3-3
1 O. Jansson G
6 L. Wahlqvist D
4 M. Lund D
20 D. Eid D
24 A. Eriksson D
18 A. Skúlason M
9 A. Traustason M
7 J. Ortmark M
8 A. Sigurðsson F
10 J. Levi F
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (7)
2 G. Ekpolo
21 D. Salihovic
23 M. Sema
17 L. Shabani
22 A. Guðjohnsen
32 W. Jakobsson
14 E. Binaku

Coach: G. Riddersholm

Hammarby

4-3-3
25 D. Blažević G
13 M. Fenger D
2 S. Sandberg D
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
21 E. Kurtulus D
20 N. Besara M
6 D. Bojanić M
8 J. Andersen M
40 A. Saidi F
9 V. Berisha F
16 G. Ludwigson F
Bench (7)
30 S. Pinas
22 J. Nilsson
15 P. Vagić
11 B. Trawally
34 A. Demirol
24 O. Dovin
17 David Concha

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.