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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Aganovic

Norrkoping

S U T T T

1–0

Full-time

GAIS

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping GAIS

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

2,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

4,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-3,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,58 xG 0,93

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norrkoping 16. · GAIS 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.2	7
2	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.3	6
3	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
4	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-4.0	6
5	AIK	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
6	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.4	4
7	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.2	4
8	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
9	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.0	3
10	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.4	3
11	Hacken	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0
14	Vasteras SK	3	0	0	3	-3	+2.5	0
15	Goteborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.2	0
16	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
2	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
3	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
5	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Djurgarden	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
14	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
15	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0
16	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.4	3
3	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-4.0	3
9	AIK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
10	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Vasteras SK	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
13	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
16	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.