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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Midtjylland

S U U U S

2–3

Full-time

Brondby

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 46%

52%

39%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

61%

42%

Both score Ø 48%

61%

35%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,95 xG 2,09

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Brondby 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	31	18	10	3	+26	+21.5	64
2	Midtjylland	31	16	12	3	+37	+6.4	60
3	FC Copenhagen	32	15	6	11	+23	+26.1	51
4	Nordsjaelland	31	14	5	12	+2	-0.6	47
5	Viborg	31	13	5	13	+2	-2.5	44
6	Sonderjyske	31	12	8	11	-2	-5.8	44
7	Brondby	31	12	6	13	+8	+10.7	42
8	Odense	32	11	8	13	-9	+4.8	41
9	Silkeborg	32	10	6	16	-26	-24.7	36
10	Randers FC	32	9	8	15	-14	+6.6	35
11	Fredericia	32	9	7	16	-23	-24.2	34
12	Vejle	32	5	9	18	-24	-18.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	15	9	4	2	+13	+17.7	31
2	Midtjylland	15	8	6	1	+20	+6.9	30
3	Nordsjaelland	16	9	3	4	+12	+11.3	30
4	Sonderjyske	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.8	27
5	FC Copenhagen	16	7	4	5	+14	+21.4	25
6	Odense	16	7	3	6	-2	+9.2	24
7	Viborg	16	7	2	7	+2	-4.7	23
8	Brondby	16	6	4	6	+7	+6.7	22
9	Randers FC	16	5	4	7	-6	+3.4	19
10	Silkeborg	16	5	4	7	-8	-5.5	19
11	Vejle	16	4	4	8	-4	-3.1	16
12	Fredericia	16	4	4	8	-13	-5.5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	16	9	6	1	+13	+3.8	33
2	Midtjylland	16	8	6	2	+17	-0.5	30
3	FC Copenhagen	16	8	2	6	+9	+4.7	26
4	Viborg	15	6	3	6	+0	+2.2	21
5	Brondby	15	6	2	7	+1	+4.0	20
6	Fredericia	16	5	3	8	-10	-18.7	18
7	Odense	16	4	5	7	-7	-4.4	17
8	Sonderjyske	16	4	5	7	-10	-7.6	17
9	Nordsjaelland	15	5	2	8	-10	-11.9	17
10	Silkeborg	16	5	2	9	-18	-19.2	17
11	Randers FC	16	4	4	8	-8	+3.1	16
12	Vejle	16	1	5	10	-20	-15.1	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.