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Superligaen
Referee: J Maae
Sonderjyske
U T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Viborg
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,81 xG 2,38
39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 5. · Viborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 16 10 4 2 +15 +14.5 34
2 Midtjylland 16 9 5 2 +21 +1.5 32
3 Brondby 16 10 1 5 +13 +8.7 31
4 FC Copenhagen 16 8 4 4 +8 +13.4 28
5 Sonderjyske 16 7 4 5 +3 -1.4 25
6 Viborg 16 7 1 8 +2 -2.8 22
7 Nordsjaelland 16 7 0 9 -2 -0.7 21
8 Odense 16 5 5 6 -10 +3.4 20
9 Randers FC 16 5 3 8 -6 +1.0 18
10 Silkeborg 16 5 3 8 -9 -10.5 18
11 Fredericia 16 3 2 11 -22 -16.2 11
12 Vejle 16 2 4 10 -13 -11.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Viborg
1–0 M. Agger
3′
Half-time 1–0
R. Vinderslev 🔁
↦ A. Oggesen
46′
2–0 M. Agger
K. M. Ingason
53′
55′
B. Brahimi 2–1
58′
🔁 M. Sondergaard
↦ A. Beck
58′
🔁 D. Hanza
↦ T. Freriks
58′
🔁 J. Vester
↦ B. Brahimi
T. Klysner 🔁
↦ S. Waever
64′
M. Cherif 🔁
↦ K. M. Ingason
64′
Matthew Hoppe 🟨
71′
G. Duru 🔁
↦ A. Lyng
71′
74′
🟨 Thomas Jørgensen
Daníel Grétarsson 🟨
79′
L. Qamili 🔁
↦ M. Agger
82′
82′
🔁 H. Bidstrup
↦ S. Kuzmic
86′
T. Jorgensen 2–2
J. Vester
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1
16 M. Bundgaard G
3 S. Waever D
12 M. Soulas D
5 M. Jensen D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
26 T. Sommer M
22 A. Oggesen M
25 M. Agger M
10 K. M. Ingason M
11 A. Lyng M
14 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
1 N. Flo
6 R. Vinderslev
7 S. Emini
15 L. Qamili
18 I. Nikolov
20 T. Klysner
23 G. Duru
24 O. Hyseni
31 M. Cherif

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
18 J. Mbom D
55 S. Radic D
24 D. Anyembe D
30 S. Kuzmic D
10 T. Jorgensen M
13 J. Gronning M
8 A. Beck M
21 B. Brahimi F
9 T. Freriks F
29 S. Jalal F
Bench (9)
4 M. Hoedemakers
6 M. Sondergaard
16 F. Djukic
19 D. Hanza
26 H. Bidstrup
31 M. Londal
32 L. Kirkegaard
33 F. Damkjer
37 J. Vester

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.