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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
Nordsjaelland
T S T T T
1–3
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,68 xG 1,32
50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 11. · FC Copenhagen 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 4 3 0 1 +4 +5.3 9
2 Brondby 4 3 0 1 +3 +1.3 9
3 Randers FC 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.7 7
4 Odense 4 2 1 1 -1 +1.7 7
5 Midtjylland 4 1 3 0 +4 -0.5 6
6 Viborg 4 2 0 2 +0 -2.1 6
7 Aarhus 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.5 5
8 Vejle 4 1 1 2 +1 -1.7 4
9 Fredericia 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.8 4
10 Sonderjyske 4 1 1 2 -4 -2.5 4
11 Nordsjaelland 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.7 3
12 Silkeborg 4 1 0 3 -4 +2.2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland FC Copenhagen
36′
🟨 Robert
Tobias Salquist ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
45′
Half-time 0–0
Tobias Salquist 🟥
46′
S. Acquah 🔁
↦ V. Berthelsen
46′
46′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ Robert
1–0 P. Amoako
S. W. Egeli
46′
55′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ Gabriel Pereira
57′
🟨 Munashe Garananga
59′
Y. Moukoko 1–1
R. Huescas
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ P. Amoako
65′
74′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ Y. Moukoko
74′
🔁 Y. Zague
↦ R. Huescas
75′
P. Hatzidiakos 1–2
O. Solbakken 🔁
↦ N. Rojkjaer
82′
J. Janssen 🔁
↦ M. Brink
82′
82′
🔁 W. Clem
↦ M. Mattsson
Caleb Yirenkyi 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Yoram Zague
Noah Markmann 🟨
87′
M. Walker 🔁
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
89′
90′
Y. Zague 1–3
M. Elyounoussi
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
38 W. Lykke G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
45 N. Markmann D
25 J. Lahteenmaki D
36 C. Yirenkyi M
6 M. Brink M
8 N. Rojkjaer M
7 S. W. Egeli F
29 V. Berthelsen F
22 P. Amoako F
Bench (9)
13 A. Hansen
4 K. Hansen
9 O. Solbakken
18 J. Janssen
21 Z. Sertdemir
28 M. Walker
34 S. Acquah
40 H. Rasmussen
39 D. Johannesson

Coach: Jens Olsen

FC Copenhagen

3-4-3
42 D. Kotarski G
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
4 M. Garananga D
13 R. Huescas M
12 L. Lerager M
8 M. Mattsson M
24 B. Meling M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
9 Y. Moukoko F
16 Robert F
Bench (9)
61 O. Buur
7 V. Claesson
11 J. Larsson
14 A. Cornelius
15 M. Lopez
20 J. Suzuki
22 Y. Zague
36 W. Clem
49 L. West

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.