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Primeira Liga

Referee: P Ramalho

AVS

S T S U T

0–2

Full-time

Casa Pia

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AVS Casa Pia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,24 xG 1,50

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AVS 11. · Casa Pia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.1	3
3	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
4	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
5	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.4	3
7	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	AVS	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.0	0
12	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
13	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.4	0
14	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
15	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.1	0
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.1	3
3	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
4	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
6	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
7	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
8	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.4	3
3	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
4	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
5	AVS	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.0	0
6	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
7	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.1	0
8	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.