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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Viborg
T S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Sonderjyske
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,16 xG 0,61
42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 10. · Sonderjyske 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 4 3 0 1 +4 +5.3 9
2 Randers FC 3 2 1 0 +2 +0.4 7
3 Brondby 3 2 0 1 +2 +0.9 6
4 Midtjylland 3 1 2 0 +4 -0.5 5
5 Aarhus 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.5 5
6 Vejle 3 1 1 1 +2 -1.4 4
7 Odense 3 1 1 1 -2 +0.7 4
8 Sonderjyske 3 1 1 1 -3 -1.9 4
9 Nordsjaelland 3 1 0 2 -1 +1.5 3
10 Viborg 3 1 0 2 -1 -2.7 3
11 Fredericia 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
12 Silkeborg 3 0 0 3 -6 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Sonderjyske
1–0 M. Sondergaard
T. Jorgensen
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Agger
↦ O. Hyseni
60′
🔁 S. Emini
↦ S. Waever
Yonis Njoh 🟨
67′
D. Hanza 🔁
↦ T. Freriks
69′
C. Nouck 🔁
↦ Y. Njoh
69′
71′
🔁 L. Bjorklund
↦ M. Cherif
71′
🔁 K. M. Ingason
↦ M. Hoppe
A. Beck 🔁
↦ T. Jorgensen
79′
J. Vester 🔁
↦ S. Jalal
79′
82′
🟨 Lukas Björklund
87′
🔁 I. Djantou
↦ A. Lyng
90′
🟨 Magnus Jensen
D. Anyembe 🔁
↦ H. Bidstrup
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
18 J. Mbom D
55 S. Radic D
2 I. Nasberg D
26 H. Bidstrup D
10 T. Jorgensen M
13 J. Gronning M
6 M. Sondergaard M
29 S. Jalal F
9 T. Freriks F
27 Y. Njoh F
Bench (9)
16 F. Djukic
24 D. Anyembe
32 L. Kirkegaard
8 A. Beck
33 F. Damkjer
4 M. Hoedemakers
37 J. Vester
19 D. Hanza
17 C. Nouck

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Sonderjyske

4-3-3
16 M. Bundgaard G
3 S. Waever D
5 M. Jensen D
12 M. Soulas D
23 G. Duru D
22 A. Oggesen M
31 M. Cherif M
26 T. Sommer M
11 A. Lyng F
14 M. Hoppe F
24 O. Hyseni F
Bench (9)
6 R. Vinderslev
7 S. Emini
8 L. Bjorklund
9 I. Djantou
10 K. M. Ingason
19 P. Kristensen
20 T. Klysner
25 M. Agger
27 B. Pena

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.