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League Cup
Referee: P Wright
Swansea
S S U S U
3–0
Full-time
Northampton
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Northampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Swansea Northampton
1–0 J. Piroe ⚽
O. Cooper
10′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Piroe ⚽
53′
57′
🟨 Mitchell Pinnock
J. Key 🔁
↦ H. Ashby
61′
J. Ginnelly 🔁
↦ J. Piroe
61′
J. Fulton 🔁
↦ J. Allen
61′
J. Paterson 🔁
↦ M. Grimes
61′
62′
🔁 P. Brough
↦ A. Koiki
62′
🔁 A. Odimayo
↦ S. Sherring
62′
🔁 J. Sowerby
↦ M. Pinnock
62′
🔁 S. Hoskins
↦ K. Bowie
72′
🔁 P. Abimbola
↦ M. Leonard
M. Kukharevych 🔁
↦ K. Naughton
81′
3–0 J. Ginnelly ⚽
J. Fulton
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-1-2
22 C. Rushworth G
6 H. Darling D
26 K. Naughton D
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
30 H. Ashby M
8 M. Grimes M
7 J. Allen M
47 A. Abdulai M
31 O. Cooper F
17 J. Piroe F
20 L. Cullen F
Bench (9)
2 J. Key
11 J. Ginnelly
4 J. Fulton
12 J. Paterson
19 M. Kukharevych
50 F. Lissah
16 B. Cooper
1 A. Fisher
9 J. Yates

Coach: M. Duff

Northampton

3-1-4-2
26 M. Thompson G
35 M. Dyche D
6 S. Sherring D
12 E. Monthe D
21 M. Leonard M
3 A. McGowan M
11 M. Pinnock M
23 W. Hondermarck M
14 A. Koiki M
9 L. Appéré F
19 K. Bowie F
Bench (7)
33 P. Brough
22 A. Odimayo
4 J. Sowerby
7 S. Hoskins
27 P. Abimbola
37 J. Scott
36 J. Dadge

Coach: J. Brady

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.