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LaLiga2
Referee: J A Gonzalez Esteban
Zaragoza
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Santander
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 41%
23%
58%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
35%
71%
Both score Ø 62%
52%
71%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,77 xG 0,10
39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 20. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 31 18 5 8 +18 -2.5 59
2 La Coruna 32 16 8 8 +13 +2.4 56
3 Almeria 31 16 7 8 +16 +2.2 55
4 Malaga 32 16 7 9 +15 +6.3 55
5 Burgos 32 15 8 9 +11 +4.1 53
6 Las Palmas 32 13 12 7 +14 +2.4 51
7 Castellon 32 14 9 9 +12 +3.7 51
8 Eibar 32 13 9 10 +5 +5.3 48
9 Ceuta 32 14 5 13 -10 -9.6 47
10 Sp Gijon 32 13 7 12 +3 +1.1 46
11 Albacete 32 11 10 11 -1 +1.8 43
12 Granada 32 10 12 10 +5 +0.5 42
13 Andorra 32 11 9 12 -1 +2.2 42
14 Cordoba 32 11 9 12 -6 +2.5 42
15 Sociedad B 31 11 7 13 +1 -5.4 40
16 Leganes 32 9 11 12 +2 +3.1 38
17 Cadiz 32 10 8 14 -9 -6.5 38
18 Valladolid 32 9 9 14 -10 +2.2 36
19 Huesca 32 8 7 17 -17 -0.5 31
20 Zaragoza 31 7 9 15 -16 -1.9 30
21 Mirandes 32 7 7 18 -20 -4.3 28
22 Cultural Leonesa 32 7 7 18 -25 -9.1 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Santander
21′
🟨 Javier Castro
Keidi Bare 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
45′
🟨 Santi Franco
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ I. Sainz-Maza
46′
🔁 S. Martinez
↦ A. Aldasoro
64′
🔁 A. Villalibre
↦ S. Franco
1–0 D. Gomez
Francho
74′
75′
🔁 Chino
↦ D. Rodriguez
M. A. Cuenca 🔁
↦ Francho
76′
D. Tasende 🔁
↦ H. Pinilla
76′
M. Mensah 🔁
↦ Y. Saidu
82′
82′
🔁 M. Sangalli
↦ J. Castro
Pablo Insua 🟨
84′
K. Kodro 🔁
↦ D. Gomez
86′
T. Moya 🔁
↦ R. Gonzalez
86′
1–1 M. Sangalli
own goal
87′
Martín Aguirregabiria 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
4 P. Insua D
18 J. El Yamiq D
27 J. Larios D
33 Y. Saidu M
6 K. Bare M
14 Francho M
11 R. Gonzalez M
31 H. Pinilla M
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
17 F. Moyano
19 K. Kodro
22 W. Agada
23 M. A. Cuenca
8 T. Moya
15 C. Pomares
25 N. Cumic
7 M. Soberon
2 J. Sebastian
3 D. Tasende
26 M. Mensah

Coach: David Navarro

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
5 J. Castro D
4 Manu D
16 F. Gonzalez D
3 M. Garcia D
23 D. Rodriguez M
6 I. Sainz-Maza M
11 A. Martin M
8 A. Aldasoro M
10 I. Vicente M
43 S. Franco
Bench (10)
35 L. Gomez Rodriguez
17 J. Mata
15 M. Sangalli
12 A. Villalibre
20 S. Camara
33 S. Calera
14 M. Gueye
46 C. Sanchez
36 S. Martinez
44 Chino

Coach: Jose Lopez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,80
U
3,10
B
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J A Gonzalez Esteban · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.