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LaLiga2

Referee: A Morilla

Malaga

T S T S S

3–3

Full-time

Valladolid

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 5. · Valladolid 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	28	16	5	7	+20	-0.9	53
2	Castellon	29	14	7	8	+15	+3.5	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	+13	+0.9	49
4	La Coruna	28	14	7	7	+13	+3.1	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	+10	+1.2	47
6	Burgos	29	13	7	9	+6	+3.1	46
7	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	+12	+0.4	45
8	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	-3	-5.4	44
9	Sp Gijon	28	12	6	10	+2	+2.4	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	+1	+1.7	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	+1	+4.0	38
12	Sociedad B	29	10	7	12	+1	-5.1	37
13	Albacete	29	9	9	11	-6	+1.8	36
14	Andorra	28	9	8	11	-5	+1.9	35
15	Cadiz	29	9	8	12	-7	-4.7	35
16	Leganes	28	8	10	10	+1	+5.2	34
17	Granada	28	7	11	10	-1	-0.1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	-9	+1.2	32
19	Huesca	29	8	7	14	-11	+1.5	31
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	-17	-9.6	27
21	Zaragoza	29	6	9	14	-17	-1.9	27
22	Mirandes	29	6	6	17	-19	-4.3	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	15	10	3	2	+14	+7.7	33
2	Malaga	14	9	4	1	+14	+1.7	31
3	Ceuta	14	10	1	3	+7	+0.1	31
4	Santander	14	9	2	3	+15	+0.7	29
5	Castellon	14	9	2	3	+12	+0.8	29
6	Almeria	14	9	2	3	+11	+2.5	29
7	Sociedad B	15	7	5	3	+7	-2.7	26
8	Burgos	15	7	5	3	+7	+4.6	26
9	Sp Gijon	15	7	5	3	+5	+2.2	26
10	Las Palmas	14	6	5	3	+8	+0.8	23
11	Huesca	15	6	5	4	+2	+1.1	23
12	La Coruna	13	6	4	3	+5	+2.1	22
13	Cordoba	14	6	3	5	+0	-0.1	21
14	Cadiz	15	6	2	7	-2	+0.5	20
15	Granada	15	4	7	4	+4	+2.8	19
16	Albacete	14	5	3	6	-5	-0.4	18
17	Andorra	13	4	5	4	+0	+1.8	17
18	Leganes	13	4	4	5	+1	+6.1	16
19	Valladolid	14	4	4	6	-2	+3.1	16
20	Mirandes	14	3	3	8	-10	-1.3	12
21	Zaragoza	14	2	5	7	-11	+1.2	11
22	Cultural Leonesa	14	2	4	8	-11	+0.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.0	27
2	Santander	14	7	3	4	+5	-1.5	24
3	Las Palmas	14	5	7	2	+4	-0.3	22
4	Castellon	15	5	5	5	+3	+2.6	20
5	Almeria	14	5	5	4	+2	-1.6	20
6	Cordoba	14	5	5	4	+1	+1.8	20
7	Burgos	14	6	2	6	-1	-1.5	20
8	Leganes	15	4	6	5	+0	-0.9	18
9	Albacete	15	4	6	5	-1	+2.2	18
10	Andorra	15	5	3	7	-5	+0.1	18
11	Cultural Leonesa	14	5	2	7	-6	-9.9	17
12	Sp Gijon	13	5	1	7	-3	+0.2	16
13	Malaga	14	5	1	8	-4	-0.5	16
14	Zaragoza	15	4	4	7	-6	-3.2	16
15	Valladolid	14	4	4	6	-7	-1.9	16
16	Cadiz	14	3	6	5	-5	-5.2	15
17	Granada	13	3	4	6	-5	-2.9	13
18	Ceuta	14	3	4	7	-10	-5.4	13
19	Mirandes	15	3	3	9	-9	-3.1	12
20	Sociedad B	14	3	2	9	-6	-2.4	11
21	Huesca	14	2	2	10	-13	+0.4	8
22	Eibar	13	0	5	8	-13	-3.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.