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LaLiga2

Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid

La Coruna

S S S S S

1–3

Full-time

Castellon

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

6 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 9

6 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 6

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match La Coruna 2. · Castellon 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	17	11	2	4	+15	+0.2	35
2	La Coruna	16	9	5	2	+17	+2.8	32
3	Almeria	17	9	5	3	+11	+0.4	32
4	Las Palmas	16	8	5	3	+8	+0.4	29
5	Burgos	16	7	4	5	+6	+1.5	25
6	Castellon	16	7	4	5	+4	+3.2	25
7	Valladolid	17	6	6	5	+5	+3.9	24
8	Sp Gijon	17	7	3	7	-2	+0.0	24
9	Cadiz	17	6	6	5	-2	-0.8	24
10	Ceuta	16	7	3	6	-3	-3.2	24
11	Cordoba	17	5	7	5	-1	+0.6	22
12	Cultural Leonesa	16	6	2	8	-3	-4.7	20
13	Malaga	16	5	4	7	-1	-1.3	19
14	Granada	16	4	7	5	-2	+0.9	19
15	Leganes	17	4	7	6	-2	+1.4	19
16	Albacete	16	5	4	7	-5	-0.7	19
17	Huesca	17	5	4	8	-8	+1.3	19
18	Sociedad B	17	5	3	9	-3	+0.7	18
19	Andorra	17	4	6	7	-7	-1.3	18
20	Eibar	16	4	5	7	-5	-1.1	17
21	Mirandes	16	4	3	9	-9	-0.9	15
22	Zaragoza	16	4	3	9	-13	-3.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	9	6	1	2	+11	+0.4	19
2	Sociedad B	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.4	18
3	Ceuta	8	6	0	2	+5	-0.4	18
4	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+8	+2.5	17
5	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+5	+0.5	16
6	La Coruna	7	4	3	0	+9	+2.4	15
7	Malaga	8	4	3	1	+7	-1.1	15
8	Eibar	8	4	3	1	+6	+1.8	15
9	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+2	+0.5	15
10	Huesca	9	4	3	2	+1	+0.0	15
11	Castellon	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.5	14
12	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	+0	+1.3	14
13	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	+3	+3.8	12
14	Burgos	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.1	12
15	Cordoba	8	3	2	3	-1	-1.2	11
16	Albacete	8	3	1	4	-4	-0.2	10
17	Granada	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.3	9
18	Andorra	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	8	2	2	4	-3	+0.3	8
20	Zaragoza	8	2	2	4	-8	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-4	+1.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	9	5	2	2	+8	+0.4	17
2	Santander	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.2	16
3	Almeria	9	4	3	2	+3	-2.1	15
4	Burgos	8	4	1	3	+3	-0.6	13
5	Las Palmas	8	3	4	1	+3	-0.1	13
6	Leganes	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.2	13
7	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+2	+0.1	12
8	Cultural Leonesa	8	4	0	4	+0	-5.0	12
9	Castellon	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.7	11
10	Cordoba	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.8	11
11	Granada	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.4	10
12	Cadiz	8	2	4	2	-2	-2.1	10
13	Albacete	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.5	9
14	Sp Gijon	8	3	0	5	-4	-0.4	9
15	Andorra	9	2	3	4	-6	-0.7	9
16	Mirandes	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.5	8
17	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.1	7
18	Ceuta	8	1	3	4	-8	-2.8	6
19	Malaga	8	1	1	6	-8	-0.1	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-9	+1.3	4
21	Eibar	8	0	2	6	-11	-2.9	2
22	Sociedad B	8	0	0	8	-10	+0.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.