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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Castellon
T T T S U
5–4
Full-time
Sociedad B
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Sociedad B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,26 xG 2,67
65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 9
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 13. · Sociedad B 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +8 +1.2 26
2 Santander 13 8 1 4 +8 -1.0 25
3 La Coruna 13 6 5 2 +12 +1.5 23
4 Burgos 13 6 4 3 +7 +2.8 22
5 Almeria 12 6 4 2 +5 +1.0 22
6 Cadiz 13 5 6 2 +2 -1.1 21
7 Valladolid 14 5 5 4 +3 +3.9 20
8 Cordoba 13 5 5 3 +2 +0.4 20
9 Sp Gijon 13 6 1 6 -1 -0.7 19
10 Ceuta 12 5 3 4 -3 -1.6 18
11 Andorra 13 4 5 4 -3 +1.4 17
12 Eibar 13 4 4 5 +0 -0.5 16
13 Castellon 13 4 4 5 +0 +0.1 16
14 Albacete 13 4 4 5 -3 -1.7 16
15 Leganes 13 3 6 4 +1 -0.0 15
16 Sociedad B 13 4 3 6 -1 +0.8 15
17 Malaga 13 4 3 6 -1 -1.3 15
18 Huesca 13 4 3 6 -6 +0.9 15
19 Granada 13 3 5 5 -3 +0.2 14
20 Cultural Leonesa 13 4 2 7 -4 -3.9 14
21 Mirandes 13 3 3 7 -7 -0.5 12
22 Zaragoza 13 1 3 9 -16 -2.1 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Sociedad B
1–0 A. Mabil
A. Calatrava
25′
29′
G. Carrera 1–1
Israel Suero 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Jon Balda
Half-time 1–1
K. Mamah 🔁
↦ S. Ruiz
46′
2–1 A. Jakobsen
A. Mabil
50′
3–1 I. Suero
A. Jakobsen
51′
54′
🔁 D. Diaz
↦ T. Carbonell
4–1 A. Calatrava
A. Mabil
59′
61′
🔁 U. Agote
↦ J. Balda
61′
🔁 A. Marchal
↦ J. Ochieng
A. Sienra 🔁
↦ Alcazar
63′
D. Aurelio 🔁
↦ I. Suero
63′
64′
D. Diaz 4–2
66′
ℹ️ Dani Díaz
VAR: Goal confirmed
T. De Nipoti 🔁
70′
M. Doue 🔁
↦ Barri
81′
5–2 D. Aurelio
83′
84′
🔁 A. Mariezkurrena
↦ L. Astiazaran
84′
🔁 S. Osazuwa
↦ I. Aguirre
89′
S. Osazuwa 5–3
G. Carrera
90′
P. Rodriguez 5–4
Douglas Aurélio 🟨
91′
Tommaso De Nipoti 🟨
97′
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Castellon

3-4-3
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
5 A. Jimenez D
17 S. Ruiz D
7 A. Mabil M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
12 Alcazar M
10 I. Suero F
19 A. Jakobsen F
21 A. Calatrava F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
3 F. Brignani
4 A. Sienra
6 M. Doue
11 D. Aurelio
14 O. Gil
18 P. Santiago
20 N. Markanich
23 K. Mamah
25 Ronaldo
26 Tincho
29 T. De Nipoti

Coach: Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Sociedad B

4-2-3-1
13 E. Arana G
29 J. Garro D
4 L. Beitia D
5 P. Rodriguez D
3 J. Balda D
14 T. Carbonell M
31 I. Aguirre M
17 L. Astiazaran M
30 J. Eceizabarrena M
11 J. Ochieng M
18 G. Carrera F
Bench (10)
32 T. Folgado
23 U. Agote
37 I. Calderon
34 J. Oleaga
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
7 D. Diaz
19 A. Marchal
10 A. Mariezkurrena
20 S. Osazuwa
26 D. Ramirez

Coach: Jon Ansotegi Gorostola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,45
B
6,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Ojaos Valera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.