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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero
Malaga
S S T U T
3–2
Full-time
Mirandes
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 14
11 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 20. · Mirandes 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 15 8 5 2 +15 +2.8 29
2 Santander 15 9 2 4 +10 +0.1 29
3 Las Palmas 15 8 5 2 +9 +1.2 29
4 Almeria 14 8 4 2 +11 +0.4 28
5 Burgos 15 7 4 4 +7 +1.7 25
6 Castellon 15 6 4 5 +3 +2.4 22
7 Cordoba 15 5 6 4 +0 -0.2 21
8 Cadiz 15 5 6 4 -2 -2.0 21
9 Valladolid 14 5 5 4 +3 +3.9 20
10 Cultural Leonesa 15 6 2 7 -2 -4.5 20
11 Sp Gijon 15 6 2 7 -3 +0.0 20
12 Albacete 15 5 4 6 -3 -0.7 19
13 Leganes 15 4 6 5 -1 +2.7 18
14 Huesca 15 5 3 7 -5 +1.3 18
15 Ceuta 14 5 3 6 -5 -3.4 18
16 Eibar 15 4 5 6 -1 -0.3 17
17 Andorra 15 4 5 6 -6 -1.3 17
18 Granada 15 3 7 5 -3 +0.8 16
19 Sociedad B 14 4 3 7 -2 +0.2 15
20 Malaga 14 4 3 7 -2 -1.3 15
21 Mirandes 14 3 3 8 -9 -0.5 12
22 Zaragoza 15 3 3 9 -14 -3.5 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Mirandes
-5′
🟥 Juan Palomares
1–0 A. Nino
C. Dotor
31′
2–0 A. Nino
33′
41′
🔁 T. Tamarit
↦ H. Novoa Ramos
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Cardero
↦ M. Pascual
46′
🔁 S. El Jebari
↦ A. Martin Luis
48′
🟨 Juan Gutiérrez
49′
🟨 Sergio Postigo
49′
🟨 Alberto Mari
R. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ C. Dotor
54′
59′
A. Mari 2–1
P. Perez
63′
🔁 I. Cordoba
↦ S. Postigo
J. Lobete 🔁
↦ J. Munoz
70′
Chupe 🔁
↦ A. Nino
70′
Victor Garcia Marin 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 G. Petit
↦ A. Mari
79′
G. Petit 2–2
S. El Jebari
E. Jauregi 🔁
↦ D. Lorenzo
83′
H. Abaida 🔁
↦ D. Larrubia
83′
3–2 E. Galilea
90′
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,36
B
4,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Palencia Caballero · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.