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Premier League

Referee: M Dean

Liverpool

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Burnley

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

27 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 7

6 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 2. · Burnley 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Chelsea	1	1	0	+3	3
4	West Ham	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Everton	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Brentford	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Watford	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Brighton	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Tottenham	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Leicester	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Aston Villa	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Burnley	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Man City	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Wolves	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Newcastle	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Southampton	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Norwich	1	0	1	-3	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	-3	0
20	Leeds	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Everton	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Leicester	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Burnley	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Norwich	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	+3	3
2	West Ham	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Aston Villa	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Man City	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Wolves	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Southampton	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Arsenal	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	-3	0
10	Leeds	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.