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LaLiga2
Cartagena
S S T T U
3–1
Full-time
Malaga
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
43%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
16 Free kicks against 27
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 12. · Malaga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 14 10 1 3 +16 31
2 Eibar 15 8 4 3 +4 28
3 Las Palmas 15 7 6 2 +7 27
4 Ponferradina 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Valladolid 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Tenerife 14 7 3 4 +7 24
7 Sp Gijon 15 6 4 5 +0 22
8 Oviedo 15 4 8 3 +1 20
9 Malaga 14 5 5 4 -2 20
10 Zaragoza 15 3 10 2 +1 19
11 Ibiza 14 4 7 3 -1 19
12 Cartagena 14 6 1 7 -3 19
13 Girona 14 5 3 6 -1 18
14 Mirandes 15 5 3 7 -3 18
15 Huesca 15 4 5 6 +0 17
16 Lugo 15 3 7 5 -2 16
17 Burgos 14 4 4 6 -2 16
18 Fuenlabrada 15 3 7 5 -2 16
19 Sociedad B 14 3 5 6 -3 14
20 Leganes 15 3 5 7 -4 14
21 Amorebieta 15 2 7 6 -4 13
22 Alcorcon 15 2 2 11 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,01
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.