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Conference League
Referee: J Frischer
The New Saints
T U S U T
2–0
Full-time
FC Astana
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

The New Saints FC Astana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
71%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
43%
Both score Ø 22%
0%
43%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,45 xG 1,06
40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0

Match report

The New Saints FC Astana
1–0 R. Holden ⚽
J. Williams
40′
Half-time 1–0
A. Wilson 🔁
↦ R. Brobbel
71′
B. Clark 🔁
↦ R. Holden
71′
72′
🔁 N. Zhaksylyk
↦ S. Basmanov
2–0 D. McManus ⚽
78′
A. Cieślewicz 🔁
↦ J. Williams
88′
J. Canavan 🔁
↦ D. McManus
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

The New Saints

4-3-3
25 C. Roberts G
7 J. Daniels D
22 D. Davies D
6 J. Bodenham D
10 D. Redmond D
21 L. Smith M
14 D. Williams M
17 J. Williams M
18 R. Holden F
9 D. McManus F
8 R. Brobbel F
Bench (12)
28 A. Wilson
19 B. Clark
11 A. Cieślewicz
27 J. Canavan
20 S. Bradley
31 B. Woollam
30 J. Edwards
24 A. Baker
2 J. Pask
33 N. Doforo
12 B. Hudson
16 H. McGahey

Coach: C. Harrison

FC Astana

3-5-2
55 A. Zarutskiy G
15 A. Beysebekov D
3 B. Kalaica D
4 M. Bystrov D
72 S. Basmanov M
19 B. Osei M
8 I. Kuat M
21 E. Astanov M
27 T. Dosmagambetov M
81 R. Karimov F
11 N. Ahanonu F
Bench (7)
97 N. Zhaksylyk
74 M. Seysen
47 M. Mamontov
96 B. Mustafin
71 S. Anuarov
52 T. Tokenov
53 A. Berezutskiy

Coach: G. Babayan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.