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Conference League
Referee: V Spasjoņņikovs
Vikingur Reykjavik
U S S U T
3–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vikingur Reykjavik Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 55%
43%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
43%
100%
Both score Ø 65%
29%
100%
Average goals
2,4
6,7
Scored
1,4
4,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,71 xG 1,29
53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vikingur Reykjavik Cercle Brugge
16′
⚽ K. Olaigbe 0–1
K. Denkey
1–1 A. Sigurpálsson ⚽
D. Djuric
17′
Gisli Gotti Thordarson ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
44′
Half-time 1–1
Danijel Dejan Djuric ❌
penalty missed
46′
N. Hansen 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
46′
56′
🟨 Abu Francis
58′
🟨 Kévin Denkey
59′
🔁 T. Somers
↦ M. Efekele
59′
🔁 L. Agyekum
↦ Bruninho
59′
🔁 Felipe Augusto
↦ A. Ouattara
J. Fjóluson 🔁
↦ H. Sigurðsson
62′
H. Guðjónsson 🔁
↦ A. Sigurpálsson
74′
D. Atlason 🔁
↦ K. Gunnarsson
74′
2–1 D. Djuric ⚽
E. Agnarsson
76′
82′
🔁 S. Gheerardyns
↦ D. Gomis
3–1 G. Vatnhamar ⚽
G. Þórðarson
83′
S. Þorkelsson 🔁
↦ E. Agnarsson
88′
91′
🔁 O. Vanackere
↦ A. Francis
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Vikingur Reykjavik

4-4-2
1 I. Jónsson G
22 K. Gunnarsson D
6 G. Vatnhamar D
12 H. Sigurðsson D
20 T. Ibrahimagic D
7 E. Agnarsson M
11 G. Þórðarson M
8 V. Andrason M
17 A. Sigurpálsson M
21 A. Þrándarson F
19 D. Djuric F
Bench (10)
23 N. Hansen
5 J. Fjóluson
9 H. Guðjónsson
24 D. Atlason
2 S. Þorkelsson
3 D. Aronsson
16 J. Magnússon
18 Ó. Hauksson
80 P. Arinbjörnsson
29 H. Magnússon

Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
21 M. Delanghe G
27 N. De Wilde D
76 J. Lietaert D
18 S. Miangué D
4 D. Gomis D
17 A. Francis M
30 Bruninho M
7 M. Efekele M
99 A. Ouattara M
19 K. Olaigbe M
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (9)
34 T. Somers
6 L. Agyekum
10 Felipe Augusto
75 S. Gheerardyns
78 O. Vanackere
95 T. De Bel
40 X. Martlé
64 S. Coens
84 B. Langenbick

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Spasjoņņikovs · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.