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Europa League
Referee: N Dabanović
Twente
U S U T U
0–2
Full-time
Lazio
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,33 xG 2,82
33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Twente Lazio
Michel Vlap 🟨
-5′
Lars Unnerstall 🟥
11′
P. Tytoń 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
13′
35′
⚽ Pedro 0–1
37′
ℹ️ Pedro
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–1
B. Kuipers 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
46′
C. Eiting 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
61′
G. Besselink 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
61′
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ M. Zaccagni
65′
🔁 N. Rovella
↦ M. Vecino
Bart van Rooij 🟨
68′
Max Bruns 🟨
69′
75′
ℹ️ Valentín Castellanos
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Mees Hilgers ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
76′
77′
🔁 Patric
↦ S. Gigot
77′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ B. Dia
S. Ltaief 🔁
↦ A. Salah-Eddine
80′
87′
⚽ G. Isaksen 0–2
F. Dele-Bashiru
89′
🔁 Mario Gila
↦ L. Tchaouna
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
2 M. Hilgers D
38 M. Bruns D
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
8 Y. Regeer M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
14 S. Steijn M
7 M. van Bergen M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (12)
22 P. Tytoń
5 B. Kuipers
6 C. Eiting
41 G. Besselink
30 S. Ltaief
39 M. Rots
29 H. Kuster
37 O. Panneflek
3 G. Lagerbielke
4 M. Kjølø
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
16 I. El Maach

Coach: J. Oosting

Lazio

4-2-3-1
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marušić D
2 S. Gigot D
13 A. Romagnoli D
3 L. Pellegrini D
5 M. Vecino M
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
20 L. Tchaouna M
9 Pedro M
10 M. Zaccagni M
19 B. Dia F
Bench (9)
11 V. Castellanos
6 N. Rovella
4 Patric
18 G. Isaksen
34 Mario Gila
55 A. Furlanetto
53 L. Di Tommaso
30 Nuno Tavares
94 I. Provedel

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.