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Conference League
Referee: O Derevinskyi
Celje
S T T S T
5–1
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
67%
29%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,77 xG 1,66
28% Possession 72%
18 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celje Buyuksehyr
1–0 T. Svetlin ⚽
5′
24′
🟨 Ousseynou Ba
2–0 I. Brnić ⚽
30′
3–0 S. Sešlar ⚽
A. Matko
34′
35′
🟨 Berat Ayberk Özdemir
Armandas Kučys 🟨
37′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 O. Ergün
↦ B. Özdemir
46′
🔁 O. Kemen
↦ Miguel Crespo
46′
🔁 E. Kaplan
↦ Ö. Şahiner
4–0 A. Kučys ⚽
S. Sešlar
51′
69′
🔁 Davidson
↦ João Figueiredo
70′
🟨 Deniz Türüç
74′
🟨 Jerome Opoku
75′
⚽ D. Pelkas 4–1
5–1 A. Kučys ⚽
I. Brnić
77′
Edmilson 🔁
↦ A. Kučys
79′
80′
🔁 B. Özcan
↦ D. Pelkas
David Zec 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Davidson
M. Dulca 🔁
↦ M. Zabukovnik
84′
L. Bobičanec 🔁
↦ S. Sešlar
85′
C. Lhernault 🔁
↦ T. Svetlin
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Celje

5-4-1
22 M. Rožman G
7 A. Matko D
6 D. Zec D
3 D. Vukliševič D
81 K. Nemanič D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
11 S. Sešlar M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
88 T. Svetlin M
77 I. Brnić M
47 A. Kučys F
Bench (7)
30 Edmilson
4 M. Dulca
8 L. Bobičanec
5 C. Lhernault
12 L. Kolar
43 A. Krefl
98 L. Štubljar

Coach: Albert Riera

Buyuksehyr

4-2-3-1
98 D. Dilmen G
5 Léo Duarte D
27 O. Ba D
3 J. Opoku D
42 Ö. Şahiner D
2 B. Özdemir M
13 Miguel Crespo M
23 D. Türüç M
14 D. Pelkas M
25 João Figueiredo M
9 K. Piątek F
Bench (11)
4 O. Ergün
8 O. Kemen
75 E. Kaplan
91 Davidson
10 B. Özcan
15 H. Güreler
16 M. Şengezer
1 V. Babacan
6 Lucas Lima
11 P. Keny
28 E. Karaal

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Derevinskyi · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.