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Europa League
Referee: F Glova
Anderlecht
S U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Ludogorets
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,15 xG 0,83
70% Possession 30%
17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Feb -23 Anderlecht – Ludogorets 2–1 16. Feb -23 Ludogorets – Anderlecht 1–0

Match report

Anderlecht Ludogorets
-5′
🟨 Sergio Padt
Tristan Degreef 🟨
28′
29′
ℹ️ Caio Vidal
VAR: Card upgrade
30′
🟥 Caio Vidal
41′
🟨 Olivier Verdon
Half-time 0–0
S. Edozie 🔁
↦ T. Degreef
46′
48′
🟨 Ivajlo Chochev
49′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
50′
🟨 Rick
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
59′
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
59′
64′
🟨 Hendrik Bonmann
1–0 S. Edozie ⚽
J. Šimić
67′
M. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ L. Augustinsson
75′
75′
🔁 Erick Marcus
↦ Deroy Duarte
75′
🔁 Rwan Cruz
↦ K. Duah
Thomas Foket 🟨
80′
K. Sardella 🔁
↦ T. Foket
83′
87′
🔁 D. Gropper
↦ Son
87′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ I. Chochev
Killian Sardella 🟨
89′
92′
ℹ️ Rwan Cruz
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–0 A. Dreyer ⚽
K. Dolberg
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
25 T. Foket D
4 J. Šimić D
32 L. Dendoncker D
6 L. Augustinsson D
23 M. Rits M
18 M. Ashimeru M
36 A. Dreyer M
29 M. Stroeykens M
83 T. Degreef M
20 L. Vázquez F
Bench (11)
27 S. Edozie
10 Y. Verschaeren
12 K. Dolberg
5 M. N'Diaye
54 K. Sardella
19 N. Angulo
7 F. Amuzu
63 T. Vanhoutte
17 T. Leoni
13 M. Jørgensen
16 M. Kikkenborg

Coach: D. Hubert

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
16 A. Witry D
24 O. Verdon D
4 Dinis Almeida D
17 Son D
18 I. Chochev M
30 Pedro Naressi M
23 Deroy Duarte M
11 Caio Vidal F
9 K. Duah F
7 Rick F
Bench (9)
77 Erick Marcus
12 Rwan Cruz
14 D. Gropper
20 A. Camara
5 G. Terziev
15 E. Kurtulus
67 D. Hristov
19 G. Rusev
1 S. Padt

Coach: I. Jovičević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Glova · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.