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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Cartagena
U T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Oviedo
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
44%
15%
Both score Ø 37%
44%
30%
Average goals
2,1
1,4
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 9. · Oviedo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 27 14 10 3 +18 52
2 Levante 27 13 11 3 +14 50
3 Alaves 27 14 7 6 +12 49
4 Granada 27 14 5 8 +16 47
5 Eibar 27 13 8 6 +5 47
6 Albacete 27 12 9 6 +6 45
7 Burgos 27 11 10 6 +8 43
8 Leganes 27 10 8 9 +2 38
9 Cartagena 27 10 7 10 +2 37
10 Huesca 27 8 11 8 -1 35
11 Tenerife 27 8 10 9 -2 34
12 Oviedo 27 9 7 11 -4 34
13 Villarreal B 27 9 7 11 -5 34
14 Sp Gijon 27 7 12 8 -2 33
15 Mirandes 27 8 9 10 -3 33
16 Zaragoza 27 8 9 10 -3 33
17 Andorra 27 9 5 13 +1 32
18 Santander 27 7 9 11 -4 30
19 Ponferradina 27 6 10 11 -9 28
20 Malaga 27 4 10 13 -12 22
21 Lugo 27 5 7 15 -17 22
22 Ibiza 27 4 7 16 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Oviedo
1–0 Iván Martos
Jairo Izquierdo
9′
38′
🟨 Lucas Ahijado
2–0 D. Musto
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Enol Rodríguez
↦ K. Koindredi
57′
🔁 L. Sequeira
↦ Raul Moro
58′
🔁 Ángel Montoro
↦ Mangel Prendes
I. Jansson 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
65′
Damián Musto 🟨
66′
72′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ Manu Vallejo
72′
🔁 Camarasa
↦ Lucas Ahijado
74′
🟨 Luismi
F. Feuillassier 🔁
↦ Oscar Ureña
75′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ Borja Valle
75′
Alcalá 🔁
↦ Iván Martos
76′
80′
L. Sequeira 2–1
Abel Bretones
Y. Eteki 🔁
↦ P. De Blasis
85′
Pêpê 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
3 Iván Martos D
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
8 P. De Blasis M
38 Oscar Ureña M
10 Borja Valle F
Bench (12)
24 I. Jansson
14 F. Feuillassier
9 Alfredo Ortuño
4 Alcalá
22 Y. Eteki
11 Darío Poveda
2 Miguel Llambrich
1 Marc Martínez
17 Mikel Rico
19 A. Sadiku
5 Pablo Vázquez
15 Sangalli

Coach: Luis Carrión

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
3 Rodri Tarín D
12 Dani Calvo D
2 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
5 Luismi M
31 Mangel Prendes M
40 Raul Moro M
18 K. Koindredi F
8 Manu Vallejo F
Bench (10)
39 Enol Rodríguez
17 L. Sequeira
19 Ángel Montoro
10 Borja Sánchez
16 Camarasa
20 Hugo Rama
13 Tomeu Nadal
11 M. Flores
15 Oier Luengo
22 Juanfran

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
2,77
B
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
3,08
U2,5
1,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.