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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Burgos
T S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Eldense
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
53%
37%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Eldense 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 38 18 13 7 +27 67
2 Valladolid 38 20 7 11 +15 67
3 Eibar 38 19 7 12 +23 64
4 Espanol 38 15 16 7 +15 61
5 Oviedo 38 15 13 10 +14 58
6 Santander 38 16 10 12 +7 58
7 Elche 38 16 10 12 +3 58
8 Burgos 38 16 9 13 +0 57
9 Sp Gijon 38 15 11 12 +5 56
10 Levante 38 13 16 9 +4 55
11 Ferrol 38 14 12 12 -3 54
12 Tenerife 38 14 10 14 -1 52
13 Cartagena 38 13 9 16 -10 48
14 Zaragoza 38 11 13 14 -1 46
15 Albacete 38 11 12 15 -7 45
16 Mirandes 38 11 11 16 -8 44
17 Eldense 38 10 13 15 -11 43
18 Huesca 38 9 15 14 +1 42
19 Alcorcon 38 10 11 17 -20 41
20 Villarreal B 38 10 9 19 -19 39
21 Amorebieta 38 9 11 18 -18 38
22 Andorra 38 9 10 19 -16 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Eldense
5′
Mario Soberón 0–1
1–1 K. Appin
Álex Sancris
24′
44′
Juanto 1–2
Mario Soberón
Half-time 1–2
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ K. Appin
46′
49′
🟨 Juanto Ortuño
Miguel Atienza 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
55′
62′
🔁 Iván Chapela
↦ Joel Jorquera
67′
🟨 Sergio Ortuño
Álex Sancris 🟨
68′
Borja González 🔁
↦ A. Arroyo
69′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Joni Montiel
69′
71′
🔁 Pedro Capó
↦ Mario Soberón
73′
🟨 Pedro Capó
81′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ Juanto
81′
🔁 Jesús Clemente
↦ Sergio Ortu
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
83′
88′
🟨 David Timor
Daniel Ojeda 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
22 Miki Muñoz M
12 K. Appin M
21 Joni Montiel M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (10)
7 Dani Ojeda
5 Miguel Atienza
2 Borja González
19 Edu Espiau
10 Álex Bermejo
30 Lucas Ricoy
28 Saúl del Cerro
8 Ander Martín
1 L. Badiashile
20 Grego Sierra

Coach: Bolo

Eldense

4-1-3-2
13 Ian Mackay G
12 Derick Poloni D
4 D. Đumić D
5 Piña D
23 Marc Mateu D
24 David Timor M
8 Sergio Ortu M
21 Álex Bernal M
19 Joel Jorquera M
9 Mario Soberón F
11 Juanto F
Bench (12)
20 Iván Chapela
18 Pedro Capó
7 F. Andone
17 Jesús Clemente
31 Álvaro Aceves
3 Álex Martínez
25 Nacho Monsalve
15 M. Dauda
16 Y. Lachhab
22 M. Doué
10 Cris Montes
1 Guille Vallejo

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U
3,39
B ✓
4,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.