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Copa del Rey
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,3
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 20. · Eibar 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Cartagena 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
56 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
77 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Eibar
12′
🟨 J. Rios Reina
E. Adell 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 José Corpas
↦ Ángel Troncho
56′
🔁 Matheus Pereira
↦ Ager Aketxe
67′
🔁 Stoichkov
↦ Javi Muñoz
67′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Quique González
1–0 Juan Antonio
Iván Guzmán
69′
Diego Marín 🔁
↦ Iván Guzmán
72′
Antoni Peñafort 🔁
↦ Pepe Bernal
72′
73′
🟨 Y. Rahmani
76′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ G. Blanco
T. Penyafort 🟨
85′
J. A. Sanchez 🟨
87′
Pau Pomar 🔁
↦ Juan Antonio
87′
Adrián Salguero 🔁
↦ Marc Mas
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

5-3-2
13 Kellyan G
15 Julen López D
3 Edu Adell D
6 Jaume Villar M
4 Murua D
20 Álvaro Espínola D
7 Iván Guzmán F
8 Pepe Bernal M
17 Jaime Barrero M
11 Marc Mas F
9 Juan Antonio F
Bench (11)
28 Diego Marín
18 Antoni Peñafort
21 Pau Pomar
27 Adrián Salguero
22 José Ruiz
5 Enric Tarrés
25 Miguel de la Osa
1 Marcos Contreras
30 Luis Gutierrez
29 Carles Moscardó
16 Mario Riquelme

Coach: Manu Calleja

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Yoel G
16 Ríos Reina D
2 Chema Rodríguez D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
15 Álvaro Tejero D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Ager Aketxe M
14 Javi Muñoz M
31 Ángel Troncho M
7 Quique González M
9 G. Blanco F
Bench (10)
17 José Corpas
8 Matheus Pereira
19 Stoichkov
11 Y. Rahmani
18 Jon Bautista
30 Imanol García de Albéniz
25 L. Zidane
22 Peru Nolaskoain
23 Anaitz Arbilla
1 Ander Cantero

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.