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Copa del Rey

Referee: Iván Caparrós

Gimnastic

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gimnastic Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gimnastic 29. · Malaga 62. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Levante	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Linares Deportivo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
22	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
56	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
57	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
70	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
73	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
74	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
75	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
77	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
23	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
24	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	UD Logroñés	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
33	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
34	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
35	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gimnastic Malaga

1–0 Pol Domingo ⚽

13′

18′

🟨 Alfred N'Diaye

32′

⚽ A. N'Diaye 1–1

Unai Bustinza

Javi Bonilla 🟨

35′

Half-time 1–1

Pablo Fernández 🔁

↦ Aarón Rey

48′

62′

🔁 Aleix Febas

↦ A. NDiaye

62′

🔁 Fran Villalba

↦ Álex Gallar

M. Pochettino 🔁

↦ Marc Álvarez

70′

A. Lupu 🔁

↦ Guillermo Fernández

70′

74′

🔁 Rubén Castro

↦ Luis Muñoz

Marc Montalvo 🟨

76′

2–1 Pablo Fernández ⚽

81′

85′

🔁 Loren Zúñiga

↦ I. Fomba

85′

🔁 Juanma López

↦ Fran Sol

Andy 🔁

↦ Javier Bonilla

88′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gimnastic

4-4-2

13 Dani Parra G

21 Joan Oriol D

14 Álex Quintanilla D

3 Javier Bonilla M

4 Pol Domingo D

23 Èric Montes D

6 Ander Gorostidi M

29 Marc Álvarez M

12 Marc Montalvo M

19 Guillermo Fernández F

10 Aarón Rey F

Bench (11)

17 Pablo Fernández

16 M. Pochettino

9 A. Lupu

11 Andy

31 B. Hallebeek

1 Manu García

5 Marc Trilles

25 César Pirot

20 A. Țîrlea

18 Nil Jiménez

15 Josema Gómez

Coach: Raúl Agné

Malaga

4-3-3

1 Manolo Reina G

22 Jonás Ramalho D

4 Unai Bustinza D

Juande Rivas D

18 A. N'Diaye M

8 Luis Muñoz M

Ramón Enríquez M

11 Álex Gallar F

9 Fran Sol F

37 B. Ouacharaf D

28 I. Fomba F

Bench (11)

10 Aleix Febas

21 Fran Villalba

24 Rubén Castro

29 Loren Zúñiga

40 Juanma López

13 Rubén Yáñez

16 Genaro Rodríguez

23 Alberto Escassi

31 Andrés Caro

19 Jozabed

26 Dani Lorenzo

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,4 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,4 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Gimnastic

Malaga

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee