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LaLiga2
Referee: David Gálvez
Malaga
U U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Granada
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
17%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 28%
44%
11%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 22. · Granada 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 19 9 8 2 +12 35
2 Burgos 19 9 7 3 +9 34
3 Alaves 19 9 7 3 +5 34
4 Eibar 19 9 6 4 +6 33
5 Levante 19 8 8 3 +7 32
6 Cartagena 19 9 4 6 +5 31
7 Granada 18 8 4 6 +9 28
8 Andorra 19 8 3 8 +5 27
9 Huesca 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Villarreal B 19 7 6 6 -1 27
11 Sp Gijon 19 6 8 5 +1 26
12 Leganes 19 7 5 7 +1 26
13 Albacete 19 6 8 5 -3 26
14 Oviedo 19 6 6 7 -2 24
15 Tenerife 19 6 5 8 -2 23
16 Zaragoza 19 5 7 7 -3 22
17 Mirandes 19 4 8 7 -4 20
18 Santander 19 4 6 9 -6 18
19 Lugo 19 4 6 9 -8 18
20 Ponferradina 19 4 6 9 -9 18
21 Ibiza 19 4 3 12 -14 15
22 Malaga 18 3 5 10 -10 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Granada
Manolo Reina 🟨
-5′
10′
🟨 Ricard Sánchez
1–0 Rubén Castro
I. Fomba
37′
Half-time 1–0
Javi Jiménez 🔁
↦ Pablo Hervías
46′
A. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
46′
62′
José Callejón 1–1
Óscar Melendo
Dani Lorenzo 🔁
↦ I. Fomba
63′
64′
🔁 Bryan Zaragoza
↦ Óscar Melendo
64′
🔁 Quini
↦ Ricard Sánchez
Alberto Escassi 🟨
72′
Loren Zúñiga 🔁
↦ Jonás Ramalho
72′
72′
🔁 Alberto Perea
↦ Jorge Molina
76′
🟨 Víctor Meseguer
Loren Zúñiga ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
83′
83′
🟨 Miguel Rubio
Loren Zúñiga 🟨
84′
P. Chavarría 🔁
↦ Rubén Castro
85′
Alfred N'Diaye 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 M. Arezo
↦ José Callejón
91′
🔁 Alberto Soro
↦ M. Uzuni
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malaga

5-3-2
13 Rubén Yáñez G
14 Pablo Hervías D
20 E. Burgos D
23 Alberto Escassi D
22 Jonás Ramalho D
28 I. Fomba D
10 Aleix Febas M
8 Luis Muñoz M
16 Genaro Rodríguez M
21 Fran Villalba F
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (10)
3 Javi Jiménez
18 A. N'Diaye
26 Dani Lorenzo
29 Loren Zúñiga
12 P. Chavarría
15 L. Agbenyenu
40 Juanma López
2 Juanfran
1 Manolo Reina
19 Jozabed

Coach: Pepe Mel

Granada

4-4-2
1 Raúl Fernández G
30 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Miguel Rubio D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
15 Carlos Neva D
21 Óscar Melendo M
18 N. Petrović M
12 Víctor Meseguer M
9 José Callejón M
19 Jorge Molina F
11 M. Uzuni F
Bench (9)
26 Bryan Zaragoza
17 Quini
22 Alberto Perea
8 M. Arezo
7 Alberto Soro
29 Pepe Sánchez
16 Víctor Díaz
5 J. Silva
33 Adrián López

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,22
U ✓
3,05
B
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Gálvez · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.