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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Las Palmas
U S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Burgos
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
54%
46%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 15%
15%
15%
Both score Ø 12%
15%
8%
Average goals
1,6
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,4
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

78% Possession 22%
18 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 1. · Burgos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 13 7 5 1 +11 26
2 Alaves 13 7 5 1 +5 26
3 Burgos 13 6 6 1 +7 24
4 Levante 13 6 4 3 +5 22
5 Eibar 13 6 4 3 +4 22
6 Granada 13 6 3 4 +5 21
7 Cartagena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
8 Andorra 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Albacete 13 5 6 2 +3 21
10 Huesca 14 5 5 4 +3 20
11 Sp Gijon 13 5 4 4 +1 19
12 Villarreal B 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Zaragoza 14 4 4 6 -3 16
14 Ponferradina 14 4 4 6 -6 16
15 Tenerife 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Leganes 13 4 2 7 -3 14
17 Santander 13 3 5 5 -3 14
18 Lugo 13 3 4 6 -3 13
19 Oviedo 13 3 4 6 -4 13
20 Ibiza 13 3 2 8 -10 11
21 Mirandes 13 1 6 6 -7 9
22 Malaga 13 2 3 8 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Burgos
Jonathan Viera 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
Álvaro Lemos 🔁
↦ Marvin
46′
49′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
63′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Gaspar Campos
63′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Mourad
65′
Curro Sánchez 0–1
José Matos
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Enrique Clemente
66′
Alberto Moleiro 🔁
↦ Pejiño
66′
73′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Grego Sierra
73′
🔁 Míchel Zabaco
↦ Curro Sánchez
Cardona 🔁
↦ O. Mfulu
74′
82′
🟨 Juan Artola
84′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
86′
🟨 Juan Artola
86′
🟥 Juan Artola
86′
🔁 Borja González
↦ Jesús Areso
Eric Curbelo 🔁
↦ Sidnei
89′
93′
Miki Muñoz 0–2
José Matos
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 Álvaro Vallés G
2 Marvin D
23 Saúl Coco D
18 Sidnei D
5 Enrique Clemente D
12 E. Loiodice M
22 O. Mfulu M
24 Pejiño M
21 Jonathan Viera M
11 Benito Ramírez M
9 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (12)
14 Álvaro Lemos
7 Vitolo
10 Alberto Moleiro
19 Cardona
6 Eric Curbelo
15 Álvaro Jiménez
17 Óscar Clemente
30 Cendón
1 Álex Domínguez
8 Fabio González
3 Sergi Cardona
20 Joel del Pino

Coach: García Pimienta

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Gaspar Campos M
9 Mourad F
Bench (10)
10 Álex Bermejo
7 Juan Artola
22 Miki Muñoz
4 Míchel Zabaco
2 Borja González
3 Fran García
8 Pablo Valcarce
15 Juan Hernández
21 Saúl Berjón
1 Dani Barrio

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U
3,38
B ✓
5,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.