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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

S T U S T

2–0

Full-time

Alcorcon

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

43%

22%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

39%

22%

Both score Ø 33%

39%

26%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,6

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

1 Corners 10

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 8. · Alcorcon 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	24	15	6	3	+22	51
2	Almeria	23	14	4	5	+15	46
3	Espanol	23	14	3	6	+20	45
4	Sp Gijon	24	11	7	6	+8	40
5	Vallecano	24	12	4	8	+7	40
6	Leganes	23	12	4	7	+7	40
7	Mirandes	24	10	6	8	+5	36
8	Ponferradina	23	10	4	9	-2	34
9	Girona	24	9	6	9	-3	33
10	Las Palmas	24	8	8	8	-5	32
11	Lugo	23	8	7	8	+1	31
12	Malaga	24	8	7	9	-9	31
13	Fuenlabrada	24	6	12	6	-1	30
14	Tenerife	24	8	6	10	-2	30
15	Logrones	24	8	5	11	-12	29
16	Oviedo	24	6	10	8	+0	28
17	Sabadell	24	6	7	11	-6	25
18	Zaragoza	24	6	6	12	-6	24
19	Cartagena	24	6	6	12	-8	24
20	Albacete	24	6	6	12	-12	24
21	Castellon	24	6	4	14	-11	22
22	Alcorcon	23	5	6	12	-8	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	12	9	1	2	+14	28
2	Leganes	11	9	0	2	+9	27
3	Sp Gijon	12	7	5	0	+9	26
4	Vallecano	12	8	1	3	+9	25
5	Almeria	12	7	3	2	+11	24
6	Mallorca	12	7	2	3	+12	23
7	Las Palmas	12	7	2	3	+4	23
8	Lugo	11	6	3	2	+6	21
9	Tenerife	12	5	4	3	+6	19
10	Zaragoza	12	5	4	3	+3	19
11	Ponferradina	11	5	3	3	+1	18
12	Girona	12	5	3	4	+1	18
13	Mirandes	12	4	5	3	+2	17
14	Logrones	12	5	2	5	-4	17
15	Castellon	12	5	0	7	+1	15
16	Oviedo	12	3	5	4	+2	14
17	Cartagena	12	4	2	6	+0	14
18	Fuenlabrada	12	2	8	2	+0	14
19	Albacete	12	3	4	5	-3	13
20	Alcorcon	12	4	1	7	-5	13
21	Malaga	12	2	5	5	-6	11
22	Sabadell	12	2	4	6	-4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	12	8	4	0	+10	28
2	Almeria	11	7	1	3	+4	22
3	Malaga	12	6	2	4	-3	20
4	Mirandes	12	6	1	5	+3	19
5	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+6	17
6	Fuenlabrada	12	4	4	4	-1	16
7	Ponferradina	12	5	1	6	-3	16
8	Sabadell	12	4	3	5	-2	15
9	Vallecano	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Girona	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	Sp Gijon	12	4	2	6	-1	14
12	Oviedo	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Leganes	12	3	4	5	-2	13
14	Logrones	12	3	3	6	-8	12
15	Tenerife	12	3	2	7	-8	11
16	Albacete	12	3	2	7	-9	11
17	Lugo	12	2	4	6	-5	10
18	Cartagena	12	2	4	6	-8	10
19	Las Palmas	12	1	6	5	-9	9
20	Alcorcon	11	1	5	5	-3	8
21	Castellon	12	1	4	7	-12	7
22	Zaragoza	12	1	2	9	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.