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LaLiga2

Burgos

T U T S T

3–1

Full-time

Alcorcon

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 22%

36%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

36%

44%

Both score Ø 34%

24%

44%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

17 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 12. · Alcorcon 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	25	14	7	4	+11	49
2	Valladolid	25	14	5	6	+12	47
3	Almeria	25	14	4	7	+18	46
4	Tenerife	25	13	6	6	+16	45
5	Ponferradina	25	11	8	6	+8	41
6	Cartagena	25	12	3	10	+1	39
7	Girona	25	11	5	9	+5	38
8	Oviedo	25	8	12	5	+4	36
9	Las Palmas	25	9	9	7	+2	36
10	Ibiza	25	8	11	6	+6	35
11	Lugo	25	7	13	5	+3	34
12	Burgos	25	9	5	11	+2	32
13	Sp Gijon	25	8	8	9	-3	32
14	Malaga	25	8	7	10	-15	31
15	Huesca	25	7	9	9	+2	30
16	Mirandes	25	8	6	11	-2	30
17	Leganes	25	7	8	10	-4	29
18	Zaragoza	25	5	14	6	-6	29
19	Amorebieta	25	4	12	9	-7	24
20	Fuenlabrada	25	4	11	10	-11	23
21	Sociedad B	25	4	7	14	-13	19
22	Alcorcon	25	2	6	17	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Eibar	12	9	2	1	+10	29
3	Almeria	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	Cartagena	12	8	1	3	+10	25
5	Las Palmas	13	7	4	2	+9	25
6	Burgos	12	7	3	2	+14	24
7	Girona	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Oviedo	13	6	6	1	+9	24
9	Malaga	13	7	3	3	+0	24
10	Tenerife	12	7	2	3	+12	23
11	Ponferradina	13	6	5	2	+9	23
12	Lugo	13	6	5	2	+4	23
13	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	+3	21
14	Mirandes	13	6	2	5	+4	20
15	Fuenlabrada	13	3	7	3	+0	16
16	Ibiza	13	3	6	4	+2	15
17	Amorebieta	12	3	6	3	+1	15
18	Leganes	12	3	6	3	+1	15
19	Huesca	13	3	5	5	-1	14
20	Zaragoza	12	2	7	3	-2	13
21	Alcorcon	12	1	5	6	-12	8
22	Sociedad B	12	1	3	8	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	13	6	4	3	+4	22
2	Almeria	13	6	2	5	+6	20
3	Ibiza	12	5	5	2	+4	20
4	Eibar	13	5	5	3	+1	20
5	Ponferradina	12	5	3	4	-1	18
6	Huesca	12	4	4	4	+3	16
7	Zaragoza	13	3	7	3	-4	16
8	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	-3	15
9	Girona	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Leganes	13	4	2	7	-5	14
11	Cartagena	13	4	2	7	-9	14
12	Sociedad B	13	3	4	6	-4	13
13	Oviedo	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Lugo	12	1	8	3	-1	11
15	Sp Gijon	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Las Palmas	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Mirandes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Amorebieta	13	1	6	6	-8	9
19	Burgos	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Fuenlabrada	12	1	4	7	-11	7
21	Malaga	12	1	4	7	-15	7
22	Alcorcon	13	1	1	11	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.