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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

S S S T S

4–0

Full-time

Malaga

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

80%

40%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

20%

Both score Ø 20%

20%

Average goals

1,6

1,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

10 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 0

10 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ponferradina 3. · Malaga 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Gijon	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Ponferradina	5	4	0	1	+2	12
4	Tenerife	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Oviedo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Cartagena	6	3	0	3	-3	9
7	Ibiza	6	1	5	0	+1	8
8	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Huesca	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	Mirandes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Fuenlabrada	6	1	4	1	+1	7
12	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Girona	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Valladolid	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Las Palmas	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Sociedad B	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Lugo	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Zaragoza	6	1	3	2	-2	6
19	Burgos	5	1	2	2	+1	5
20	Leganes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
21	Amorebieta	6	1	2	3	-4	5
22	Alcorcon	6	1	0	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Gijon	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Ponferradina	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Huesca	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Malaga	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Girona	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Mirandes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Cartagena	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Oviedo	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Las Palmas	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Amorebieta	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Sociedad B	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Lugo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Ibiza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Fuenlabrada	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Zaragoza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
21	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Alcorcon	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+4	6
3	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Ibiza	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Oviedo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Zaragoza	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Alcorcon	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cartagena	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Lugo	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Burgos	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Sociedad B	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Amorebieta	4	0	1	3	-5	1
21	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Girona	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.