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LaLiga2

Fuenlabrada

T S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Castellon

S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fuenlabrada Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 9

21 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fuenlabrada 3. · Castellon 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Sp Gijon	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Fuenlabrada	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Ponferradina	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Vallecano	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Mirandes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Castellon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Leganes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Tenerife	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Malaga	4	2	0	2	-4	6
12	Las Palmas	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Alcorcon	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Logrones	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Cartagena	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Almeria	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Oviedo	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Lugo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Zaragoza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Albacete	4	0	1	3	-6	1
21	Girona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Sabadell	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Leganes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Fuenlabrada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Logrones	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Castellon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Lugo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Mirandes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Albacete	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Oviedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ponferradina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Malaga	3	1	0	2	-5	3
10	Oviedo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Cartagena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Alcorcon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Logrones	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lugo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.