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LaLiga2

Las Palmas

U U S U S

2–1

Full-time

Castellon

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 8. · Castellon 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Sp Gijon	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Fuenlabrada	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Vallecano	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Mallorca	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Malaga	6	3	1	2	-3	10
7	Ponferradina	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Las Palmas	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Leganes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Mirandes	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Castellon	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Cartagena	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Tenerife	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Girona	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Oviedo	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Lugo	6	2	0	4	-4	6
17	Zaragoza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Alcorcon	5	1	2	2	+0	5
19	Logrones	5	1	1	3	-2	4
20	Albacete	6	1	1	4	-4	4
21	Almeria	4	1	0	3	-2	3
22	Sabadell	5	0	0	5	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Fuenlabrada	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sp Gijon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Albacete	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Zaragoza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Logrones	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Oviedo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Ponferradina	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Castellon	3	1	0	2	+0	3
18	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Mirandes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Lugo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
21	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ponferradina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Mirandes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Malaga	4	2	0	2	-4	6
6	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Castellon	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Mallorca	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Girona	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leganes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Lugo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Alcorcon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Tenerife	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Logrones	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Sabadell	3	0	0	3	-5	0
22	Albacete	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.