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Championship
Referee: T Bramall
Cardiff
T U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Hull
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
21%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
58%
26%
Both score Ø 40%
53%
26%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 21. · Hull 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 19 14 2 3 +34 44
2 Bournemouth 19 12 5 2 +20 41
3 West Brom 20 10 6 4 +12 36
4 Coventry 20 10 5 5 +7 35
5 Stoke 19 10 4 5 +7 34
6 Blackburn 19 8 6 5 +6 30
7 QPR 19 8 5 6 +5 29
8 Huddersfield 17 8 4 5 +4 28
9 Luton 19 7 6 6 +5 27
10 Swansea 19 7 6 6 +1 27
11 Blackpool 19 7 6 6 -1 27
12 Preston 20 7 6 7 -3 27
13 Middlesbrough 20 7 5 8 +1 26
14 Millwall 18 6 8 4 +0 26
15 Reading 20 8 2 10 -5 26
16 Sheffield United 19 7 4 8 +1 25
17 Birmingham 20 6 5 9 -6 23
18 Bristol City 19 6 5 8 -7 23
19 Derby 19 4 9 6 -3 21
20 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 -1 20
21 Cardiff 19 5 4 10 -13 19
22 Hull 19 4 3 12 -10 15
23 Peterborough 18 4 3 11 -17 15
24 Peterboro 19 4 3 12 -21 15
25 Barnsley 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Hull
15′
K. Lewis-Potter 0–1
R. Longman
Half-time 0–1
J. Ralls 🔁
↦ W. Vaulks
46′
49′
🔁 T. Huddlestone
↦ C. Elder
55′
🟨 Keane Lewis-Potter
Mark McGuinness 🟨
57′
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ L. Bacuna
63′
J. Collins 🔁
↦ I. Davies
63′
66′
🔁 R. Williams
↦ M. Wilks
80′
🔁 T. Eaves
↦ J. Magennis
M. Harris 🔁
↦ M. McGuinness
85′
93′
🔁 J. Mills
↦ G. Honeyman
Ryan Giles 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Jacob Greaves
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

3-4-2-1
25 A. Smithies G
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
38 P. Ng M
2 M. McGuinness D
7 L. Bacuna F
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
26 R. Giles M
10 K. Moore F
39 I. Davies F
Bench (7)
8 J. Ralls
27 R. Colwill
19 J. Collins
29 M. Harris
4 S. Morrison
1 D. Phillips
30 C. Brown

Coach: S. Morison

Hull

3-4-1-2
13 N. Baxter G
3 C. Elder D
17 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
6 R. Smallwood M
8 G. Docherty M
10 G. Honeyman F
16 R. Longman M
27 J. Magennis F
7 M. Wilks F
11 K. Lewis-Potter M
Bench (7)
23 T. Huddlestone
19 R. Williams
9 T. Eaves
41 J. Mills
18 G. Moncur
1 M. Ingram
14 A. Cannon

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U
3,45
B ✓
3,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.