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LaLiga2
Malaga
T U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Lugo
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 48%
35%
60%
Average goals
1,7
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 16. · Lugo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 20 13 4 3 +14 43
2 Almeria 20 9 9 2 +14 36
3 Zaragoza 20 9 6 5 +8 33
4 Fuenlabrada 20 9 6 5 +5 33
5 Huesca 20 10 2 8 +6 32
6 Girona 20 9 4 7 +4 31
7 Las Palmas 20 9 4 7 +2 31
8 Numancia 20 7 8 5 +3 29
9 Elche 20 7 7 6 +3 28
10 Mirandes 20 7 7 6 -4 28
11 Ponferradina 20 6 9 5 +4 27
12 Albacete 19 8 3 8 -6 27
13 Alcorcon 20 6 8 6 -1 26
14 Sp Gijon 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 Vallecano 19 5 9 5 +3 24
16 Malaga 20 4 9 7 -2 21
17 Oviedo 20 5 6 9 -6 21
18 Lugo 20 4 9 7 -8 21
19 Tenerife 21 4 7 10 -6 19
20 Extremadura UD 20 4 6 10 -10 18
21 Santander 20 2 11 7 -5 17
22 La Coruna 21 2 9 10 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U ✓
3,86
B
6,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.