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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Hamilton
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Hearts
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,0
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 11%
11%
11%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 11
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Hearts 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 15 1 1 +41 46
2 Rangers 17 14 2 1 +40 44
3 Aberdeen 18 9 5 4 +4 32
4 Motherwell 18 10 1 7 +5 31
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 5 7 -4 23
6 Livingston 19 5 7 7 +0 22
7 Hibernian 19 5 7 7 -7 22
8 Ross County 18 5 5 8 -19 20
9 St Mirren 18 4 3 11 -12 15
10 ST Johnstone 16 3 6 7 -19 15
11 Hearts 18 2 6 10 -14 12
12 Hamilton 18 2 6 10 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Aug -19 Hearts – Hamilton 2–2

Match report

Hamilton Hearts
21′
🟨 Steven MacLean
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Mulraney
↦ S. Naismith
58′
🟨 Michael Smith
61′
🔁 O. Bozanić
↦ A. White
L. Smith 🔁
↦ S. Davies
63′
1–0 M. Miller ⚽
G. Oakley
64′
71′
🟨 Craig Halkett
2–0 W. Collar ⚽
M. Miller
72′
76′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ L. Damour
Aaron McGowan 🟨
77′
Mikel Miller 🟨
79′
82′
⚽ O. Bozanić 2–1
M. Smith
B. Easton 🔁
↦ G. Oakley
83′
Brian Easton 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Glenn Whelan
J. Hunt 🔁
↦ W. Collar
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-1-3-2
31 L. Southwood G
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
2 A. McGowan D
26 S. Stubbs D
40 J. Hamilton D
25 S. Martin M
7 W. Collar M
8 S. Davies F
9 G. Oakley M
11 M. Miller F
Bench (7)
28 L. Smith
24 B. Easton
6 J. Hunt
20 D. Moyo
19 A. Winter
1 O. Williams
14 R. Cunningham

Coach: B. Rice

Hearts

4-4-2
23 Joel Castro G
3 A. White M
2 M. Smith D
26 C. Halkett D
51 A. Hickey D
12 G. Whelan M
22 L. Damour M
8 S. Clare M
14 S. Naismith M
18 S. MacLean F
19 U. Ikpeazu F
Bench (7)
11 J. Mulraney
7 O. Bozanić
41 E. Henderson
28 C. Dikamona
15 C. Wighton
1 Z. Zlamal
77 R. Meshino

Coach: D. Stendel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,52
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B
2,09
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,03
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.