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Championship
Referee: A Backhouse
Hull
S T S T U
3–0
Full-time
Birmingham
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
68%
41%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 14. · Birmingham 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 22 14 7 1 +22 49
2 Leeds 22 14 5 3 +22 47
3 Preston 23 11 5 7 +8 38
4 Sheffield Weds 22 10 6 6 +13 36
5 Bristol City 22 9 8 5 +2 35
6 Fulham 20 10 4 6 +10 34
7 Nott'm Forest 21 9 7 5 +6 34
8 Swansea 21 9 7 5 +5 34
9 Blackburn 22 10 4 8 +2 34
10 Millwall 22 8 9 5 +0 33
11 Cardiff 22 8 8 6 +2 32
12 QPR 22 9 4 9 -7 31
13 Brentford 20 9 3 8 +12 30
14 Hull 22 8 6 8 +3 30
15 Birmingham 22 8 4 10 -7 28
16 Derby 22 6 8 8 -7 26
17 Charlton 22 6 6 10 -2 24
18 Middlesbrough 23 5 9 9 -11 24
19 Reading 21 6 5 10 -2 23
20 Huddersfield 22 5 7 10 -10 22
21 Luton 22 6 2 14 -18 20
22 Stoke 23 5 3 15 -12 18
23 Wigan 22 4 6 12 -15 18
24 Barnsley 22 3 7 12 -16 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Birmingham
Jackson Irvine 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Eaves
K. Grosicki
46′
Reece Burke 🟨
51′
54′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ J. Bellingham
2–0 K. Grosicki
J. Bowen
58′
D. Batty 🔁
↦ J. Bowler
63′
63′
🔁 J. Montero
↦ Fran Villalba
64′
🟨 Josh McEachran
69′
🔁 D. Crowley
↦ J. McEachran
K. Lewis-Potter 🔁
↦ T. Eaves
76′
G. Honeyman 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
81′
85′
🟨 Dan Crowley
3–0 K. Lewis-Potter
E. Lichaj
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
5 R. Burke D
26 C. Elder D
36 J. Irvine M
37 Leonardo Lopes M
19 J. Bowler M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 T. Eaves F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
8 D. Batty
31 K. Lewis-Potter
18 G. Honeyman
25 M. Pennington
3 R. Tafazolli
23 S. Kingsley
13 M. Ingram

Coach: G. McCann

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
27 C. Trueman G
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
3 K. Pedersen D
43 G. Bajrami D
16 J. McEachran M
11 Jérémie Bela M
34 I. Šunjić M
17 Fran Villalba M
22 J. Bellingham M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
24 Álvaro Giménez
15 J. Montero
7 D. Crowley
26 D. Davis
20 G. Gardner
1 L. Camp
19 J. Maghoma

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,48
B
3,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Backhouse · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.