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2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt
U S T U U
2–2
Full-time
Hamburg
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
24%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 12. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 17 9 7 1 +17 34
2 Hamburg 17 8 6 3 +17 30
3 Stuttgart 17 9 3 5 +6 30
4 Heidenheim 17 7 6 4 +7 27
5 Osnabruck 17 7 5 5 +8 26
6 Erzgebirge Aue 17 7 5 5 +1 26
7 Greuther Furth 17 7 4 6 +3 25
8 Regensburg 17 6 5 6 +3 23
9 Sandhausen 17 5 8 4 +1 23
10 Holstein Kiel 17 6 4 7 -1 22
11 Bochum 17 4 8 5 -1 20
12 Darmstadt 17 4 8 5 -5 20
13 Karlsruhe 18 4 8 6 -7 20
14 Hannover 17 5 5 7 -8 20
15 Nurnberg 18 4 7 7 -8 19
16 St Pauli 17 4 6 7 -2 18
17 Wehen 18 4 5 9 -14 17
18 Dresden 18 3 4 11 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,29
U ✓
3,59
B
1,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.