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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Mallorca
S T T T U
0–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
24%
53%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
53%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 17. · Sevilla 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 11 3 3 +23 36
2 Real Madrid 17 10 6 1 +21 36
3 Sevilla 17 9 4 4 +4 31
4 Getafe 17 8 6 3 +10 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 7 8 2 +8 29
6 Sociedad 17 8 4 5 +8 28
7 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
8 Valencia 17 7 6 4 +3 27
9 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
10 Osasuna 17 5 8 4 +2 23
11 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
12 Betis 17 6 5 6 -5 23
13 Villarreal 17 6 4 7 +5 22
14 Alaves 17 5 4 8 -6 19
15 Valladolid 17 4 7 6 -6 19
16 Eibar 18 5 4 9 -10 19
17 Mallorca 17 4 3 10 -12 15
18 Celta 17 3 5 9 -11 14
19 Leganes 17 2 4 11 -16 10
20 Espanol 17 2 4 11 -20 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Sevilla
15′
🟨 Jesús Navas
20′
Diego Carlos 0–1
É. Banega
33′
🟨 Fernando
Fran Gámez 🟨
37′
Ante Budimir 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
J. Hernández 🔁
↦ Salva Sevilla
57′
Iddrisu Baba 🟨
62′
63′
É. Banega 0–2
Martin Valjent 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 J. Koundé
↦ L. de Jong
P. Chavarría 🔁
↦ A. Budimir
69′
73′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ Joan Jordán
Febas 🔁
↦ I. Mohammed
78′
Aleksandar Sedlar 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Sergio Reguilón
90′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ L. Ocampos
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-4-1-1
1 Manolo Reina G
15 Fran Gámez D
20 Aleksandar Sedlar D
24 Martin Valjent D
3 Lumor Agbenyenu D
26 Takefusa Kubo M
12 Iddrisu Baba M
8 Salva Sevilla M
11 Lago Júnior M
14 Dani Rodriguez F
22 Ante Budimir F
Bench (7)
13 Fabri
5 Francisco Javier Campos
4 Josep Señé
29 Cucho Hernández
23 Aleix Febas
19 Pablo Chavarria
7 Ariday

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
20 Diego Carlos D
6 Daniel Carriço D
23 Sergio Reguilón D
24 Joan Jordan M
25 Fernando M
10 Éver Banega M
11 Munir El Haddadi F
19 Luuk de Jong F
5 Lucas Ocampos F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
12 Jules Koundé
22 Franco Vázquez
17 Nemanja Gudelj
21 Óliver Torres
30 Bryan Gil
7 Rony Lopes

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,95
U
3,89
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.