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LaLiga2

Lugo

S U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Gijon

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

26%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

37%

21%

Both score Ø 48%

58%

37%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 18. · Sp Gijon 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	20	13	4	3	+14	43
2	Almeria	19	9	8	2	+14	35
3	Zaragoza	20	9	6	5	+8	33
4	Huesca	20	10	2	8	+6	32
5	Fuenlabrada	19	9	5	5	+5	32
6	Girona	20	9	4	7	+4	31
7	Numancia	20	7	8	5	+3	29
8	Elche	19	7	7	5	+4	28
9	Las Palmas	19	8	4	7	+1	28
10	Mirandes	20	7	7	6	-4	28
11	Ponferradina	20	6	9	5	+4	27
12	Albacete	19	8	3	8	-6	27
13	Alcorcon	20	6	8	6	-1	26
14	Vallecano	19	5	9	5	+3	24
15	Sp Gijon	19	5	7	7	-1	22
16	Malaga	20	4	9	7	-2	21
17	Oviedo	20	5	6	9	-6	21
18	Lugo	19	4	9	6	-7	21
19	Tenerife	20	4	7	9	-5	19
20	Extremadura UD	20	4	6	10	-10	18
21	Santander	20	2	11	7	-5	17
22	La Coruna	20	1	9	10	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	9	7	2	0	+11	23
2	Girona	10	7	2	1	+9	23
3	Huesca	10	7	1	2	+9	22
4	Numancia	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Almeria	9	6	2	1	+10	20
6	Ponferradina	11	5	5	1	+8	20
7	Mirandes	11	5	5	1	+6	20
8	Zaragoza	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Fuenlabrada	9	5	3	1	+5	18
10	Las Palmas	10	5	2	3	+3	17
11	Sp Gijon	10	4	3	3	+4	15
12	Vallecano	9	3	4	2	+2	13
13	Elche	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Lugo	10	3	4	3	-3	13
15	Oviedo	10	2	6	2	-1	12
16	Santander	10	2	5	3	+2	11
17	Malaga	9	2	5	2	+1	11
18	Albacete	9	3	2	4	-4	11
19	Alcorcon	10	3	1	6	-6	10
20	Extremadura UD	10	2	3	5	-4	9
21	Tenerife	10	1	5	4	-4	8
22	La Coruna	9	1	4	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	20
2	Alcorcon	10	3	7	0	+5	16
3	Albacete	10	5	1	4	-2	16
4	Almeria	10	3	6	1	+4	15
5	Elche	10	4	3	3	+2	15
6	Zaragoza	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Fuenlabrada	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Vallecano	10	2	5	3	+1	11
9	Tenerife	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Las Palmas	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Huesca	10	3	1	6	-3	10
12	Malaga	11	2	4	5	-3	10
13	Oviedo	10	3	0	7	-5	9
14	Extremadura UD	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Numancia	9	1	5	3	-4	8
16	Lugo	9	1	5	3	-4	8
17	Girona	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Mirandes	9	2	2	5	-10	8
19	Ponferradina	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Sp Gijon	9	1	4	4	-5	7
21	Santander	10	0	6	4	-7	6
22	La Coruna	11	0	5	6	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.