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LaLiga2
Lugo
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Santander
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 17%
27%
7%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
4 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 14. · Santander 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 15 11 2 2 +12 35
2 Fuenlabrada 16 8 4 4 +6 28
3 Almeria 16 6 8 2 +8 26
4 Huesca 16 8 2 6 +6 26
5 Numancia 16 6 7 3 +5 25
6 Albacete 16 8 1 7 -5 25
7 Alcorcon 16 6 6 4 +3 24
8 Girona 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Ponferradina 16 5 8 3 +5 23
10 Zaragoza 16 6 5 5 +3 23
11 Elche 16 6 5 5 +2 23
12 Vallecano 16 4 9 3 +3 21
13 Las Palmas 15 5 4 6 -3 19
14 Lugo 15 4 7 4 -4 19
15 Sp Gijon 16 4 6 6 +0 18
16 Mirandes 15 4 6 5 -6 18
17 Extremadura UD 16 4 4 8 -6 16
18 Malaga 16 3 6 7 -4 15
19 Oviedo 16 3 6 7 -5 15
20 Tenerife 15 3 5 7 -3 14
21 Santander 15 1 9 5 -4 12
22 La Coruna 16 1 7 8 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
2,98
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.