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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Jarzebak
Wisla
U U T T S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Puszcza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
5,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Wisla 14. · Puszcza 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Motor Lublin 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Kalisz 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Legia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Pogoń Siedlce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Lechia Zielona Góra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Resovia Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Radunia Stężyca 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
11 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Górnik Łęczna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Slask Wroclaw 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Pogon Szczecin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
40 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Puszcza
1–0 M. Cissé
30′
35′
🟨 H. Tomalski
37′
H. Tomalski 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Ángel Rodado 🔁
↦ W. Szywacz
60′
B. Jaroch 🔁
↦ K. Gruszkowski
60′
Luis Fernández 🔁
↦ B. Talar
60′
65′
🔁 J. Bartosz
↦ K. Cichoń
65′
🔁 R. Boguski
↦ H. Tomalski
K. Wachowiak 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 J. Serafin
K. Duda 🔁
↦ M. Cissé
80′
84′
🔁 P. Mroziński
↦ W. Hajda
91′
🔁 D. Frelek
↦ E. Čikoš
I. Lasicki 🟨
99′
2–1 Ángel Rodado
102′
105′
🟨 J. Serafin
105′
🟥 J. Serafin
106′
🟨 E. Cikos
106′
🔁 A. Kramarz
↦ A. Siemaszko
109′
🟨 J. Bartosz
113′
🟨 L. Solowiej
119′
🟥 T. Wojcinowicz
I. Jelic Balta 🟨
120′
120′
A. Kramarz 2–2
J. Colley 🔁
↦ I. Łasicki
125′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Wisla

5-2-3
K. Broda
I. Łasicki D
B. Moltenis D
K. Wachowiak D
K. Gruszkowski D
K. Skrobański
I. Jelić Balta D
P. Plewka M
M. Cissé F
B. Talar
W. Szywacz M
Bench (9)
Ángel Rodado
B. Jaroch
Luis Fernández
K. Duda
J. Colley
D. Frątczak
D. Hugi
D. Szot
M. Młyński

Coach: R. Sobolewski

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
K. Wróblewski
E. Čikoš D
Ł. Sołowiej
T. Wojcinowicz
M. Pięczek D
H. Tomalski
J. Serafin M
W. Hajda M
K. Cichoń
É. Thiakane F
A. Siemaszko F
Bench (9)
J. Bartosz
R. Boguski
P. Mroziński
D. Frelek
A. Kramarz
F. Uryga
J. Wójcik
M. Czarny
S. Jopek

Coach: T. Tułacz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.