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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
St. Gilloise
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Gent
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 68%
80%
56%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
80%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
70%
44%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Gilloise 4. · Gent 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 12 11 1 0 +25 34
2 Antwerp 12 10 0 2 +12 30
3 Club Brugge 12 8 1 3 +12 25
4 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +12 25
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Anderlecht 13 6 1 6 +8 19
7 Charleroi 14 6 1 7 -1 19
8 Standard 10 6 0 4 +2 18
9 Gent 9 5 1 3 +9 16
10 St Truiden 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Cercle Brugge 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 -6 14
13 Kortrijk 14 4 2 8 -10 14
14 Oostende 13 3 3 7 -9 12
15 Eupen 14 4 0 10 -15 12
16 Mechelen 13 3 2 8 -8 11
17 Seraing 13 3 2 8 -9 11
18 Seraing United 13 3 2 8 -9 11
19 Waregem 13 3 2 8 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Gent
1–0 L. Amani
12′
18′
🟨 Michael Ngadeu
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. De Sart
↦ E. Owusu
56′
🟥 Michael Ngadeu
67′
🔁 A. Hjulsager
↦ S. Kums
67′
🔁 H. Cuypers
↦ L. Depoitre
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
73′
L. Lapoussin 🔁
↦ S. Adingra
74′
2–0 D. Vanzeir
L. Amani
82′
83′
🔁 J. Hauge
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
G. François 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
86′
Cameron Puertas 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
87′
José Rodríguez 🔁
↦ L. Amani
89′
91′
🟨 Julien De Sart
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
11 S. Adingra M
10 T. Teuma F
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
29 G. Nilsson
94 L. Lapoussin
19 G. François
23 Cameron Puertas
4 José Rodríguez
26 R. Sykes
21 L. Pirard

Coach: K. Geraerts

Gent

3-4-2-1
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
6 E. Owusu M
24 S. Kums M
25 Núrio Fortuna M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
29 L. Depoitre F
Bench (7)
13 J. De Sart
17 A. Hjulsager
11 H. Cuypers
10 J. Hauge
22 S. Marreh
33 D. Roef
31 B. Godeau

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,47
B
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.